Yverdon W v Rapperswil Jona W prediction · AXA Women’s Super League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Yverdon W 1–2 Rapperswil Jona W YVERDON W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Yverdon W win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.748

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Yverdon W win at 46%.
1′Much as we predicted: Yverdon W was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–23–31
1′KICK-OFF Yverdon W v Rapperswil Jona W
21′Rapperswil Jona W score on 20′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 22–21–57
21′We said Yverdon W at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–21–57
21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Yverdon W 0–1 Rapperswil Jona W
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Yverdon W win: 46% at kick-off, 22% now
21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Rapperswil Jona W win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Yverdon W win 22%)
25′21′: E. Popadinova on the scoresheet for Rapperswil Jona W, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 21–22–57
30′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 20–22–58
31′We said Yverdon W at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–58
32′Rapperswil Jona W find the net on 32′. 0–2. 0–2 · 7–12–81
32′We said Yverdon W at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–12–81
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Yverdon W 0–2 Rapperswil Jona W
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Yverdon W win: 46% at kick-off, 7% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Yverdon W win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
45′We said Yverdon W at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
45′HALF-TIME Yverdon W 0–2 Rapperswil Jona W
46′SECOND HALF Yverdon W 0–2 Rapperswil Jona W
85′A goal for Yverdon W on 85′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–10–90
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Yverdon W 1–2 Rapperswil Jona W
89′I. Khiri scores for Yverdon W on 84′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–7–93
FTFULL TIME Yverdon W 1–2 Rapperswil Jona W
FTYverdon W 1–2 Rapperswil Jona W · Yverdon W win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yverdon W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Yverdon W 46%, draw 23%, Rapperswil Jona W 31%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Yverdon W v Rapperswil Jona WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Yverdon W win46%

Draw23%

Rapperswil Jona W win31%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueStade Municipal

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Yverdon W

Rapperswil Jona W

15Days since last match15

Last match: 3 Oct · AXA Women’s Super League

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Yverdon W	8	−2	8
8	Rapperswil Jona W	8	−5	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yverdon w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 18 Oct 00:21 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Yverdon W a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Yverdon W v Rapperswil Jona W~~1.94 – 1.56

~~Form · last six in AXA Women’s Super League this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 8 v 8~~7 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Yverdon W win

Published at 45%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Yverdon W win	46%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Rapperswil Jona W win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Yverdon W or draw	69%	–	–
Yverdon W clean sheet	22%	–	–
Rapperswil Jona W clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%

0123450 4.5 3.9 3.8 2.0 1 5.1 9.9 6.7 3.6 2 5.8 8.4 6.3 3.3 3 3.8 5.5 4.1 2.1 4 2.8 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Yverdon W down, Rapperswil Jona W across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 605 AXA Women’s Super League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: AXA Women’s Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.7% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Yverdon W at home: 2.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Rapperswil Jona W away: 1.17 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Yverdon W, 1.56 for Rapperswil Jona W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~YVE 0–0 RAP · RAP 8–0 YVE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in AXA Women’s Super League this season · since 29 Aug

YVERDON W

LDLWDW1–2 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 4–1 · 3–3 · 3–2

RAPPERSWIL JONA W

DLLLDW1–1 · 2–4 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 5–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Servette Chênois W	9	+13	22
2	Zürich W	9	+13	18
3	Young Boys W	9	+5	18
4	Grasshopper W	9	+14	17
5	Basel W	9	0	12
6	Luzern W	9	−1	11
7	Yverdon W	8	−2	8
8	Rapperswil Jona W	8	−5	8
9	St. Gallen W	9	−16	4
10	Aarau W	9	−21	4