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Home › Football › 1. Liga Promotion › Zürich II v YF Juventus

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Zürich II v YF Juventus

Zürich II
2–1Full time
YF Juventus

1. Liga Promotion · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42
Zürich II 2–1 YF Juventus ZÜRICH II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Zürich II win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.419

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zürich II win at 47%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Zürich II 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–23–30
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Zürich II v YF Juventus
  4. 27′Zürich II find the net on 26′. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–18–10
  5. 27′We said Zürich II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–18–10
  6. 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Zürich II 1–0 YF Juventus
  7. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Zürich II win: 47% at kick-off, 72% now
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 72–18–10
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Zürich II 1–0 YF Juventus
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Zürich II 1–0 YF Juventus
  11. 50′We said Zürich II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–7
  12. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Zürich II win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
  13. 67′We said Zürich II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  14. 76′We said Zürich II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  15. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Zürich II win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
  16. 82′We said Zürich II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  17. 88′We said Zürich II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  18. 89′A goal for YF Juventus on 89′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 6–89–5
  19. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Zürich II 1–1 YF Juventus
  20. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Zürich II win: 47% at kick-off, 6% now
  21. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Zürich II win 6%)
  22. 90′We said Zürich II at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 1–1 · 6–90–4
  23. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Zürich II win: 47% at kick-off, 6% now
  24. 92′Zürich II are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  25. 92′We said Zürich II at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  26. 92′🟥 RED CARD · 90+2' Zürich II
  27. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' E. Kamoko · Zürich II
  28. 96′Zürich II score on 90′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
  29. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Zürich II 2–1 YF Juventus
  30. 96′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+6' Zürich II win: 47% at kick-off, 99% now
  31. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Zürich II win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
  32. 97′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+7' Zürich II win: 47% at kick-off, 99% now
  33. FTFULL TIME Zürich II 2–1 YF Juventus
  34. FTZürich II 2–1 YF Juventus · Zürich II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zürich II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zürich II 47%, draw 23%, YF Juventus 30%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Zürich II v YF JuventusBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Zürich II win47%
Draw23%
YF Juventus win30%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zürich II

YF Juventus

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6YF Juventus11+219
11Zürich II11015

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zürich ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Zürich II a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Zürich II v YF Juventus1.78 – 1.37
Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 5 SeptW1 D2 L3 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 15 v 1911 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zürich II win47%––
Draw23%––
YF Juventus win30%––
Over 2.5 goals60%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals82%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Zürich II or draw70%––
Zürich II clean sheet26%––
YF Juventus clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%
0123450 4.5 6.0 4.1 1 7.8 10.3 7.0 3.2 2 6.8 9.0 6.1 2.8 3 4.1 5.4 3.6 4 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Zürich II down, YF Juventus across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsZUR 1–0 YFJ · YFJ 1–0 ZUR · YFJ 1–2 ZUR · ZUR 1–2 YFJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 5 Sept

ZÜRICH II

LLDLWD0–4 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 2–2

YF JUVENTUS

WWWDWW3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Biel-Bienne11+1326
2FC Schaffhausen11+1625
3Cham11+522
4Bulle11+821
5Paradiso11+1120
6YF Juventus11+219
7Grand-Saconnex11+418
8Basel II11016
9Amical Saint-Prex11−616
10Kreuzlingen11+115
11Zürich II11015
12Breitenrain11−215
13Brühl11−214
14Young Boys II11−911
15Lugano II11−89
16Bavois11−48
17Luzern II11−127
18Bellinzona11−175

The competition's standings before kick-off.