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Young Boys II v Cham

Young Boys II

1–3Full time

Cham

1. Liga Promotion · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 19:03

Young Boys II 1–3 Cham YOUNG BOYS II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Young Boys II win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.658

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Young Boys II win43%

Draw22%

Cham win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Laos footballer arrested in connection with alleged match-fixing for betting syndicateThe Guardian · 2 days ago · Cham

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · young boys ii winPublished 10 Oct 18:40

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Young Boys II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Young Boys II win	43%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Cham win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Young Boys II or draw	65%	–	–
Young Boys II clean sheet	20%	–	–
Cham clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.2 5.1 4.2 2.3 1 5.8 9.2 7.5 4.1 2 5.2 8.4 6.8 3.7 3 3.2 5.2 4.2 2.3 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Young Boys II down, Cham across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,580 1. Liga Promotion matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Promotion matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.6% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

11 previous meetings, 3.55 goals a meeting; 7 of 11 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Young Boys II at home: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Cham away: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.84 goals for Young Boys II, 1.64 for Cham. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

11 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.55

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 11

~~Both scored~~9 of 11

~~Last meetings~~CHA 1–1 YOU · YOU 1–1 CHA · YOU 1–2 CHA · CHA 0–0 YOU

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion

YOUNG BOYS II

DWWDLL2–2 · 4–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 3–6

CHAM

DWLWWL1–1 · 4–0 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	10	+13	25
2	FC Schaffhausen	10	+8	22
3	Bulle	10	+8	20
4	Paradiso	10	+11	19
5	Cham	10	+3	19
6	Grand-Saconnex	10	+5	18
7	YF Juventus	10	0	16
8	Basel II	10	0	15
9	Zürich II	10	0	14
10	Breitenrain	10	−2	14
11	Amical Saint-Prex	10	−8	13
12	Kreuzlingen	10	0	12
13	Brühl	10	−3	11
14	Young Boys II	10	−7	11
15	Lugano II	10	−7	9
16	Bavois	10	−2	8
17	Luzern II	10	−4	7
18	Bellinzona	10	−15	5