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YF Juventus v Bellinzona

YF Juventus

2–0Full time

Bellinzona

1. Liga Promotion · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:06

YF Juventus 2–0 Bellinzona YF JUVENTUS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said YF Juventus win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.370

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

YF Juventus win50%

Draw23%

Bellinzona win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yf juventus winPublished 10 Oct 17:54

50% The market–

Us50%

We make YF Juventus a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
YF Juventus win	50%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Bellinzona win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
YF Juventus or draw	74%	–	–
YF Juventus clean sheet	32%	–	–
Bellinzona clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.9 6.7 3.9 1 9.6 10.8 6.3 2.5 2 8.1 9.1 5.3 2.1 3 4.8 5.4 3.1 4 2.2 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+YF Juventus down, Bellinzona across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,580 1. Liga Promotion matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Promotion matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.6% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

YF Juventus at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Bellinzona away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for YF Juventus, 1.17 for Bellinzona. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BEL 3–0 YFJ · YFJ 1–4 BEL

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion

YF JUVENTUS

LWWWDW2–3 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

BELLINZONA

DLWLDL1–1 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	10	+13	25
2	FC Schaffhausen	10	+8	22
3	Bulle	10	+8	20
4	Paradiso	10	+11	19
5	Cham	10	+3	19
6	Grand-Saconnex	10	+5	18
7	YF Juventus	10	0	16
8	Basel II	10	0	15
9	Zürich II	10	0	14
10	Breitenrain	10	−2	14
11	Amical Saint-Prex	10	−8	13
12	Kreuzlingen	10	0	12
13	Brühl	10	−3	11
14	Young Boys II	10	−7	11
15	Lugano II	10	−7	9
16	Bavois	10	−2	8
17	Luzern II	10	−4	7
18	Bellinzona	10	−15	5