Home › Football › 1. Liga Promotion › Paradiso v Young Boys II
Back

Paradiso v Young Boys II
Paradiso
Young Boys II1. Liga Promotion · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Paradiso win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Paradiso 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–24–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Paradiso v Young Boys II
- 2′PENALTY MISSED · 2' Paradiso
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Paradiso 1–0 Young Boys II
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 71% now
- 7′A goal for Paradiso on 6′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–17–12
- 7′We said Paradiso at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 1–0 · 71–17–12
- 14′Little has changed for our model: Paradiso 47% before kick-off, 45% now. 1–1 · 45–26–29
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Paradiso 1–1 Young Boys II
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 45% now
- 15′Young Boys II score on 15′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 45–26–29
- 45′HALF-TIME Paradiso 1–1 Young Boys II
- 45′SECOND HALF Paradiso 1–1 Young Boys II
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 48′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 37–38–25
- 52′We said Paradiso at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–40–24
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Paradiso win 35%)
- 53′We said Paradiso at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 1–2 · 11–24–65
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Paradiso 1–2 Young Boys II
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 11% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Young Boys II win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Draw 24%)
- 54′Young Boys II find the net on 54′. 1–2. 1–2 · 10–24–65
- 54′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 35–42–24
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Paradiso 2–2 Young Boys II
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 35% now
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Young Boys II win 24%)
- 55′We said Paradiso at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–42–24
- 56′A goal for Paradiso on 55′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 34–43–23
- 64′We said Paradiso at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–50–21
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Paradiso 3–2 Young Boys II
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 79% now
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Paradiso win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
- 65′We said Paradiso at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 3–2 · 80–17–3
- 65′A goal for Paradiso on 65′. 2–2 · 29–51–20
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 80% now
- 65′GOAL DISALLOWED · 65' Paradiso
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 29% now
- 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Paradiso win 29%)
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 71′We said Paradiso at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–58–17
- 77′We said Paradiso at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–68–14
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 16% now
- 85′We said Paradiso at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–84–7
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Paradiso win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
- 92′We said Paradiso at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–3
- 93′2–2 at the end. Our 47% on Paradiso misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Paradiso 2–2 Young Boys II
- FTParadiso 2–2 Young Boys II · Paradiso win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassParadiso are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Paradiso 47%, draw 23%, Young Boys II 29%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Paradiso win47%
Young Boys II win29%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 12
Match timeline
All events
ParadisoMIN
Young Boys IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Paradiso
Young Boys II
Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Paradiso a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paradiso win | 47% | 57% | −10 |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | +1 |
| Young Boys II win | 29% | 21% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 67% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 65% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 81% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 48% | −12 |
| Paradiso or draw | 71% | 79% | −8 |
| Paradiso clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Young Boys II clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 5 Sept
PARADISO
YOUNG BOYS II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biel-Bienne | 11 | +13 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 11 | +16 | 25 |
| 3 | Cham | 11 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 | Bulle | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 | Paradiso | 11 | +11 | 20 |
| 6 | YF Juventus | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Grand-Saconnex | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 | Basel II | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Amical Saint-Prex | 11 | −6 | 16 |
| 10 | Kreuzlingen | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Zürich II | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Breitenrain | 11 | −2 | 15 |
| 13 | Brühl | 11 | −2 | 14 |
| 14 | Young Boys II | 11 | −9 | 11 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 11 | −8 | 9 |
| 16 | Bavois | 11 | −4 | 8 |
| 17 | Luzern II | 11 | −12 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 11 | −17 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Biel-Bienne
FC Schaffhausen
Cham
Bulle
YF Juventus
Grand-Saconnex
Basel II
Amical Saint-Prex
Kreuzlingen
Zürich II
Breitenrain
Brühl
Lugano II
Bavois
Luzern II
Bellinzona