Paradiso v Biel-Bienne prediction · 1. Liga Promotion

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ParadisoDrawBiel-Bienne

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Biel-Bienne 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Biel-Bienne are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Paradiso 31%, draw 25%, Biel-Bienne 44%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Paradiso v Biel-BienneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Paradiso win31%

Draw25%

Biel-Bienne win44%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Paradiso

Biel-Bienne

7Days since last match20

Last match: 24 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

Last match: 11 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · biel-bienne winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Biel-Bienne a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Paradiso v Biel-Bienne~~1.24 – 1.54

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 6 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 24 v 26~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Paradiso win	31%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Biel-Bienne win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Paradiso or draw	56%	–	–
Paradiso clean sheet	22%	–	–
Biel-Bienne clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.4 9.7 7.4 3.8 1 7.8 11.6 8.9 4.6 2 4.8 7.2 5.5 2.8 3 2.0 3.0 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Paradiso down, Biel-Bienne across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,600 1. Liga Promotion matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Promotion matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.3% of games this season, across 110 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Paradiso at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Biel-Bienne away: 1.67 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Paradiso, 1.54 for Biel-Bienne. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~BIE 0–0 PAR · PAR 2–2 BIE · BIE 2–0 PAR · PAR 0–1 BIE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 6 Sept

PARADISO

LWWDDW0–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 2–1

BIEL-BIENNE

LWWWWD2–4 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	11	+13	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	+16	25
3	Bulle	12	+9	24
4	Paradiso	13	+12	24
5	Cham	11	+5	22
6	Grand-Saconnex	12	+7	21
7	Basel II	13	0	19
8	YF Juventus	13	−1	19
9	Amical Saint-Prex	13	−7	19
10	Zürich II	13	−1	18
11	Breitenrain	13	−1	18
12	Brühl	13	−2	17
13	Kreuzlingen	12	0	15
14	Lugano II	12	−7	12
15	Young Boys II	12	−9	12
16	Bavois	12	−6	8
17	Bellinzona	12	−15	8
18	Luzern II	12	−13	7