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Luzern II v FC Schaffhausen

Luzern II

0–8Full time

FC Schaffhausen

1. Liga Promotion · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Luzern II 0–8 FC Schaffhausen FC SCHAFFHAUSEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC Schaffhausen win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.558

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FC Schaffhausen win at 40%.
1′Little has changed for our model: FC Schaffhausen 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 39–22–40
1′KICK-OFF Luzern II v FC Schaffhausen
15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Luzern II 0–1 FC Schaffhausen
22′26′ and it is 0–3: D. Del Toro on the scoresheet for FC Schaffhausen. 0–3 · 2–4–94
22′⚽ GOAL · 21' Luzern II 0–3 FC Schaffhausen
22′⚽ GOAL · 23' Luzern II 0–3 FC Schaffhausen · S. Gegaj
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' FC Schaffhausen win: 40% at kick-off, 94% now
28′⚽ GOAL · 29' Luzern II 0–4 FC Schaffhausen · R. Saliji
45′HALF-TIME Luzern II 0–4 FC Schaffhausen
47′SECOND HALF Luzern II 0–4 FC Schaffhausen
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Luzern II 0–5 FC Schaffhausen
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Luzern II 0–6 FC Schaffhausen
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Luzern II 0–7 FC Schaffhausen
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Luzern II 0–8 FC Schaffhausen
FTFULL TIME Luzern II 0–8 FC Schaffhausen
FTLuzern II 0–8 FC Schaffhausen · FC Schaffhausen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Luzern II win39%

Draw21%

FC Schaffhausen win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc schaffhausen winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

40% The market–

Us40%

We make FC Schaffhausen a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Luzern II win	39%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
FC Schaffhausen win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Luzern II or draw	60%	–	–
Luzern II clean sheet	16%	–	–
FC Schaffhausen clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.3%

0123450 2.5 4.6 4.3 2.7 1 4.6 8.3 7.7 4.8 2.3 2 4.2 7.6 7.0 4.4 2.1 3 2.6 4.7 4.3 2.7 4 2.2 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Luzern II down, FC Schaffhausen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,580 1. Liga Promotion matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Promotion matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.6% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Luzern II at home: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). FC Schaffhausen away: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Luzern II, 1.88 for FC Schaffhausen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FCS 2–1 LUZ · LUZ 3–2 FCS

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion

LUZERN II

DLLWLL2–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–3 · 2–3

FC SCHAFFHAUSEN

LLDWWW1–3 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 6–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	10	+13	25
2	FC Schaffhausen	10	+8	22
3	Bulle	10	+8	20
4	Paradiso	10	+11	19
5	Cham	10	+3	19
6	Grand-Saconnex	10	+5	18
7	YF Juventus	10	0	16
8	Basel II	10	0	15
9	Zürich II	10	0	14
10	Breitenrain	10	−2	14
11	Amical Saint-Prex	10	−8	13
12	Kreuzlingen	10	0	12
13	Brühl	10	−3	11
14	Young Boys II	10	−7	11
15	Lugano II	10	−7	9
16	Bavois	10	−2	8
17	Luzern II	10	−4	7
18	Bellinzona	10	−15	5