Kreuzlingen v Bulle

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bulle win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bulle 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 34–23–43
3. 1′KICK-OFF Kreuzlingen v Bulle
4. 45′Kreuzlingen find the net on 44′. 1–0. 1–0 · 65–23–12
5. 45′We said Bulle at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 1–0 · 65–23–12
6. 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Kreuzlingen 1–0 Bulle
7. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Bulle win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
8. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Kreuzlingen win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Bulle win 36%)
9. 45′HALF-TIME Kreuzlingen 1–0 Bulle
10. 46′SECOND HALF Kreuzlingen 1–0 Bulle
11. 53′A goal for Bulle on 53′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 28–40–33
12. 53′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–1 · 28–40–33
13. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Kreuzlingen 1–1 Bulle
14. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Bulle win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
15. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Kreuzlingen win 67%)
16. 55′Bulle score on 55′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 7–20–73
17. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Kreuzlingen 1–2 Bulle
18. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Bulle win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
19. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Bulle win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 41%)
20. 56′We said Bulle at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–2 · 7–20–73
21. 60′We said Bulle at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 6–20–75
22. 71′We said Bulle at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
23. 72′Kreuzlingen find the net on 72′. 2–2. 2–2 · 19–58–22
24. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Kreuzlingen 2–2 Bulle
25. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Bulle win: 43% at kick-off, 22% now
26. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Bulle win 81%)
27. 73′We said Bulle at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 2–2 · 19–60–22
28. 74′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 18–61–21
29. 75′A goal for Bulle on 75′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 2–15–83
30. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Kreuzlingen 2–3 Bulle
31. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Bulle win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
32. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Bulle win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 63%)
33. 76′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 2–15–83
34. 78′We said Bulle at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–3 · 1–13–85
35. 83′We said Bulle at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–3 · 1–9–90
36. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Bulle win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
37. 90′We said Bulle at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
38. FTFULL TIME Kreuzlingen 2–3 Bulle
39. FTKreuzlingen 2–3 Bulle · Bulle win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.