Bulle v Grand-Saconnex prediction · 1. Liga Promotion

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BulleDrawGrand-Saconnex

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Bulle 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bulle are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bulle 49%, draw 20%, Grand-Saconnex 30%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Bulle v Grand-SaconnexBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Bulle win49%

Draw20%

Grand-Saconnex win30%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bulle

Grand-Saconnex

4Days since last match8

Last match: 21 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Bulle	12	+9	24
6	Grand-Saconnex	12	+7	21

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bulle winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Bulle a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bulle v Grand-Saconnex~~2.16 – 1.67

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 10 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 24 v 21~~3 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bulle win	49%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Grand-Saconnex win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
Bulle or draw	70%	–	–
Bulle clean sheet	19%	–	–
Grand-Saconnex clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.3%

0123450 2.3 3.8 3.1 1 4.9 7.8 6.5 3.6 2 5.1 8.3 6.8 3.8 3 3.7 5.9 4.9 2.7 4 3.2 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bulle down, Grand-Saconnex across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,596 1. Liga Promotion matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Promotion matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.0% of games this season, across 106 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bulle at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Grand-Saconnex away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.16 goals for Bulle, 1.67 for Grand-Saconnex. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~BUL 3–1 GRA · GRA 3–4 BUL · BUL 0–2 GRA · GRA 2–4 BUL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 10 Sept

BULLE

WWLWDW3–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 3–2

GRAND-SACONNEX

WWWLLL1–0 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	11	+13	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	+16	25
3	Bulle	12	+9	24
4	Cham	11	+5	22
5	Paradiso	12	+11	21
6	Grand-Saconnex	12	+7	21
7	Basel II	12	+2	19
8	Zürich II	12	+1	18
9	Breitenrain	12	+1	18
10	YF Juventus	12	−3	16
11	Amical Saint-Prex	12	−9	16
12	Kreuzlingen	12	0	15
13	Brühl	12	−4	14
14	Lugano II	12	−7	12
15	Young Boys II	12	−9	12
16	Bavois	12	−6	8
17	Bellinzona	12	−15	8
18	Luzern II	11	−12	7