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Brühl v Grand-Saconnex

Brühl
1–0Full time
Grand-Saconnex

1. Liga Promotion · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
Brühl 1–0 Grand-Saconnex BRÜHL WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Brühl win51%
The market said46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.367
The market’s Brier score0.448

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Brühl win at 51%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Brühl was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–20–29
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Brühl v Grand-Saconnex
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Brühl 0–0 Grand-Saconnex
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Brühl 0–0 Grand-Saconnex
  6. 50′PENALTY MISSED · 51' Grand-Saconnex
  7. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Brühl 1–0 Grand-Saconnex
  8. 60′🟥 RED CARD · 59' Grand-Saconnex
  9. FTFULL TIME Brühl 1–0 Grand-Saconnex
  10. FTBrühl 1–0 Grand-Saconnex · Brühl win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Brühl win51%
Draw20%
Grand-Saconnex win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brühl winPublished 10 Oct 15:19
51% The market46%
Us51%
Market46%

We make Brühl a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.3–1.7.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:2110 OCT 03:59
Our probability · brühl win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Brühl win51%46%+5
Draw20%23%−3
Grand-Saconnex win29%31%−2
Over 2.5 goals75%69%+6
Both teams to score72%69%+3
Over 1.5 goals90%83%+7
Over 3.5 goals55%50%+5
Brühl or draw71%69%+2
Brühl clean sheet19%––
Grand-Saconnex clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%
0123450 2.1 3.4 2.8 1 4.5 7.4 6.2 3.5 2 5.0 8.2 6.8 3.8 3 3.7 6.1 5.1 2.9 4 2.1 3.5 2.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Brühl down, Grand-Saconnex across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting4.25
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored4 of 4
Last meetingsGRA 3–1 BRU · BRU 4–3 GRA · GRA 3–1 BRU · BRU 1–1 GRA

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion

BRÜHL

WLDLLL4–1 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–3

GRAND-SACONNEX

LWWWWL2–5 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Biel-Bienne10+1325
2FC Schaffhausen10+822
3Bulle10+820
4Paradiso10+1119
5Cham10+319
6Grand-Saconnex10+518
7YF Juventus10016
8Basel II10015
9Zürich II10014
10Breitenrain10−214
11Amical Saint-Prex10−813
12Kreuzlingen10012
13Brühl10−311
14Young Boys II10−711
15Lugano II10−79
16Bavois10−28
17Luzern II10−47
18Bellinzona10−155

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.