Biel-Bienne v Cham prediction · 1. Liga Promotion

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Biel-BienneDrawCham

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Biel-Bienne 58%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Biel-Bienne are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Biel-Bienne 58%, draw 20%, Cham 21%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Biel-Bienne v ChamBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Biel-Bienne win58%

Draw20%

Cham win21%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Biel-Bienne

Cham

14Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

Last match: 17 Oct · Schweizer Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · biel-bienne winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Biel-Bienne a 58% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Biel-Bienne v Cham~~2.14 – 1.21

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 26 v 22~~1 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Biel-Bienne win	58%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Cham win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Biel-Bienne or draw	79%	–	–
Biel-Bienne clean sheet	30%	–	–
Cham clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.5%

0123450 3.6 4.4 2.6 1 7.6 9.0 5.5 2.2 2 8.0 9.5 5.7 2.4 3 5.7 6.8 4.1 4 3.1 3.7 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Biel-Bienne down, Cham across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,600 1. Liga Promotion matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Promotion matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.3% of games this season, across 110 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.60 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Biel-Bienne at home: 3.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Cham away: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.14 goals for Biel-Bienne, 1.21 for Cham. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.60

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CHA 3–2 BIE · BIE 3–1 CHA · CHA 1–3 BIE · BIE 4–1 CHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 5 Sept

BIEL-BIENNE

LWWWWD2–4 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–2

CHAM

WLWWLW4–0 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–4 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	11	+13	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	+16	25
3	Bulle	12	+9	24
4	Paradiso	13	+12	24
5	Cham	11	+5	22
6	Grand-Saconnex	12	+7	21
7	Basel II	13	0	19
8	YF Juventus	13	−1	19
9	Amical Saint-Prex	13	−7	19
10	Zürich II	13	−1	18
11	Breitenrain	13	−1	18
12	Brühl	13	−2	17
13	Kreuzlingen	12	0	15
14	Lugano II	12	−7	12
15	Young Boys II	12	−9	12
16	Bavois	12	−6	8
17	Bellinzona	12	−15	8
18	Luzern II	12	−13	7