Bavois v FC Schaffhausen prediction · 1. Liga Promotion

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BavoisDrawFC Schaffhausen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FC Schaffhausen 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Schaffhausen are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bavois 34%, draw 25%, FC Schaffhausen 42%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Bavois v FC SchaffhausenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bavois win34%

Draw25%

FC Schaffhausen win42%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bavois

FC Schaffhausen

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

Last match: 18 Oct · Schweizer Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	+16	25
16	Bavois	12	−6	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc schaffhausen winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make FC Schaffhausen a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bavois v FC Schaffhausen~~1.33 – 1.51

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 5 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 25~~16 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bavois win	34%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
FC Schaffhausen win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Bavois or draw	58%	–	–
Bavois clean sheet	23%	–	–
FC Schaffhausen clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 6.0 9.0 6.7 3.4 1 7.9 11.5 8.7 4.4 2 5.2 7.6 5.7 2.9 3 2.3 3.4 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bavois down, FC Schaffhausen across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,596 1. Liga Promotion matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Promotion matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.0% of games this season, across 106 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bavois at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). FC Schaffhausen away: 2.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Bavois, 1.51 for FC Schaffhausen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FCS 3–1 BAV · BAV 3–0 FCS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 5 Sept

BAVOIS

LLLLLL1–2 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–3

FC SCHAFFHAUSEN

LDWWWW0–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 6–3 · 8–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	11	+13	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	+16	25
3	Bulle	12	+9	24
4	Cham	11	+5	22
5	Paradiso	12	+11	21
6	Grand-Saconnex	12	+7	21
7	Basel II	12	+2	19
8	Zürich II	12	+1	18
9	Breitenrain	12	+1	18
10	YF Juventus	12	−3	16
11	Amical Saint-Prex	12	−9	16
12	Kreuzlingen	12	0	15
13	Brühl	12	−4	14
14	Lugano II	12	−7	12
15	Young Boys II	12	−9	12
16	Bavois	12	−6	8
17	Bellinzona	12	−15	8
18	Luzern II	11	−12	7