Basel II v Bavois

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Basel II win at 48%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Basel II 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–24–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Basel II v Bavois
4. 15′A goal for Bavois on 14′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 23–23–54
5. 15′We said Basel II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–23–54
6. 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Basel II 0–1 Bavois
7. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Basel II win: 48% at kick-off, 23% now
8. 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Bavois win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Basel II win 23%)
9. 27′We said Basel II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–56
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 18–24–57
11. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Basel II win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
12. 36′E. Avdic scores for Bavois on 14′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–25–59
13. 36′We said Basel II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–25–59
14. 37′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 16–25–59
15. 43′We said Basel II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
16. 45′HALF-TIME Basel II 0–1 Bavois
17. 46′SECOND HALF Basel II 0–1 Bavois
18. 57′We said Basel II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–66
19. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Basel II win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
20. 71′We said Basel II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–75
21. 76′Basel II score on 75′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 20–66–14
22. 76′We said Basel II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 1–1 · 20–66–14
23. 76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Basel II 1–1 Bavois
24. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Basel II win: 48% at kick-off, 20% now
25. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Bavois win 14%)
26. 85′Basel II find the net on 84′. 2–1. 2–1 · 93–7–0
27. 85′We said Basel II at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–1 · 93–7–0
28. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Basel II 2–1 Bavois
29. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Basel II win: 48% at kick-off, 93% now
30. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Basel II win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
31. 88′We said Basel II at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
32. 89′A goal for Basel II on 88′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
33. 89′We said Basel II at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
34. 89′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
35. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Basel II 3–1 Bavois
36. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Basel II win: 48% at kick-off, over 99% now
37. FTFULL TIME Basel II 3–1 Bavois
38. FTBasel II 3–1 Bavois · Basel II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.