Amical Saint-Prex v Basel II prediction · 1. Liga Promotion

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24

Amical Saint-Prex 2–0 Basel II BASEL II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Basel II win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.656

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Basel II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Amical Saint-Prex 35%, draw 22%, Basel II 43%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Amical Saint-Prex v Basel IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Amical Saint-Prex win35%

Draw22%

Basel II win43%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Amical Saint-Prex

Basel II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Basel II	12	+2	19
11	Amical Saint-Prex	12	−9	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · basel ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Basel II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Amical Saint-Prex v Basel II~~1.60 – 1.80

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 10 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 19~~11 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Amical Saint-Prex win	35%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Basel II win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Amical Saint-Prex or draw	57%	–	–
Amical Saint-Prex clean sheet	17%	–	–
Basel II clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%

0123450 3.5 6.1 5.4 3.3 1 5.5 9.5 8.4 5.1 2.3 2 4.3 7.6 6.7 4.0 3 2.3 4.1 3.6 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Amical Saint-Prex down, Basel II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,596 1. Liga Promotion matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Promotion matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.0% of games this season, across 106 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Amical Saint-Prex at home: 1.60 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 5). Basel II away: 1.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Amical Saint-Prex, 1.80 for Basel II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Promotion this season · since 10 Sept

AMICAL SAINT-PREX

LDWLWL1–3 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–3

BASEL II

LLWWDW0–3 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	11	+13	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	+16	25
3	Bulle	12	+9	24
4	Cham	11	+5	22
5	Paradiso	12	+11	21
6	Grand-Saconnex	12	+7	21
7	Basel II	12	+2	19
8	Zürich II	12	+1	18
9	Breitenrain	12	+1	18
10	YF Juventus	12	−3	16
11	Amical Saint-Prex	12	−9	16
12	Kreuzlingen	12	0	15
13	Brühl	12	−4	14
14	Lugano II	12	−7	12
15	Young Boys II	12	−9	12
16	Bavois	12	−6	8
17	Bellinzona	12	−15	8
18	Luzern II	11	−12	7