Widnau v Eschen / Mauren prediction · 1. Liga Classic

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Widnau 4–4 Eschen / Mauren WIDNAU WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Widnau win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.817

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Widnau win38%

Draw26%

Eschen / Mauren win35%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Widnau

Eschen / Mauren

8Days since last match4

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Eschen / Mauren	8	−7	8
16	Widnau	9	−13	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · widnau winPublished 11 Oct 14:35

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Widnau a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Widnau win	38%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Eschen / Mauren win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Widnau or draw	65%	–	–
Widnau clean sheet	28%	–	–
Eschen / Mauren clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 7.3 9.0 5.9 2.6 1 9.4 12.3 7.9 3.4 2 6.5 8.3 5.3 2.3 3 3.0 3.8 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Widnau down, Eschen / Mauren across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,220 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.5% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Widnau at home: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Eschen / Mauren away: 0.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Widnau, 1.30 for Eschen / Mauren. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~WID 0–0 ESC · ESC 2–1 WID

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

WIDNAU

LDWLLL0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–5 · 0–1 · 1–4

ESCHEN / MAUREN

LDLWLD1–3 · 0–0 · 0–5 · 4–3 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St. Gallen II	10	+5	22
2	Tuggen	10	+11	21
3	Taverne	10	+13	20
4	Thalwil	10	+5	16
5	Baden	10	+4	16
6	Kosova	10	+3	16
7	Collina d'Oro	10	−1	15
8	Dietikon	10	0	14
9	Gossau	10	−4	14
10	Locarno	10	−1	10
11	Freienbach	10	−4	10
12	Wettswil-Bonstetten	10	−3	9
13	Winterthur II	9	−4	9
14	Mendrisio	10	−4	8
15	Eschen / Mauren	8	−7	8
16	Widnau	9	−13	5