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Wettswil-Bonstetten v Winterthur II

Wettswil-Bonstetten

3–0Full time

Winterthur II

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30

Wettswil-Bonstetten 3–0 Winterthur II WETTSWIL-BONSTETTEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wettswil-Bonstetten win~~55%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.297

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.507

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Wettswil-Bonstetten win55%

Draw21%

Winterthur II win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wettswil-bonstetten winPublished 9 Oct 21:34

55% The market42%

Us55%

~~Market~~42%

We make Wettswil-Bonstetten a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 14 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · wettswil-bonstetten win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 34% to 42% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wettswil-Bonstetten win	55%	42%	+14
Draw	21%	26%	−5
Winterthur II win	23%	32%	−8
Over 2.5 goals	65%	52%	+13
Both teams to score	62%	56%	+7
Over 1.5 goals	84%	74%	+10
Over 3.5 goals	43%	33%	+10
Wettswil-Bonstetten or draw	77%	68%	+8
Wettswil-Bonstetten clean sheet	28%	–	–
Winterthur II clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.9 4.4 2.9 1 7.2 9.4 5.9 2.5 2 7.6 9.4 6.0 2.6 3 5.2 6.5 4.1 4 2.7 3.4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wettswil-Bonstetten down, Winterthur II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,213 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.4% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.20 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wettswil-Bonstetten at home: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Winterthur II away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.07 goals for Wettswil-Bonstetten, 1.27 for Winterthur II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~WIN 5–0 WET · WET 3–3 WIN · WIN 1–2 WET · WET 0–0 WIN

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

WETTSWIL-BONSTETTEN

DLDLDL2–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

WINTERTHUR II

LWLLWL1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tuggen	9	+11	20
2	St. Gallen II	9	+4	19
3	Taverne	9	+11	17
4	Thalwil	9	+7	16
5	Baden	9	+5	16
6	Kosova	9	+4	16
7	Collina d'Oro	9	−1	14
8	Dietikon	9	−2	11
9	Gossau	9	−5	11
10	Freienbach	9	−3	10
11	Winterthur II	8	−1	9
12	Mendrisio	9	−2	8
13	Eschen / Mauren	8	−7	8
14	Locarno	9	−2	7
15	Wettswil-Bonstetten	9	−6	6
16	Widnau	9	−13	5