Home › Football › 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 › Taverne v Thalwil

Taverne v Thalwil

Taverne

2–0Full time

Thalwil

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Taverne 2–0 Thalwil TAVERNE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Taverne win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.331

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Taverne win53%

Draw23%

Thalwil win24%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · taverne winPublished 10 Oct 18:18

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Taverne a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Taverne win	53%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Thalwil win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Taverne or draw	76%	–	–
Taverne clean sheet	32%	–	–
Thalwil clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 5.3 5.6 3.4 1 8.8 10.5 6.0 2.4 2 8.2 9.4 5.5 2.2 3 5.2 5.8 3.4 4 2.5 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Taverne down, Thalwil across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,214 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.9% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Taverne at home: 3.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Thalwil away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.87 goals for Taverne, 1.17 for Thalwil. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

TAVERNE

LWDWWW2–4 · 3–2 · 0–0 · 5–0 · 5–0 · 3–2

THALWIL

DWDWDD0–0 · 5–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tuggen	9	+11	20
2	St. Gallen II	9	+4	19
3	Taverne	9	+11	17
4	Thalwil	9	+7	16
5	Baden	9	+5	16
6	Kosova	9	+4	16
7	Collina d'Oro	9	−1	14
8	Dietikon	9	−2	11
9	Gossau	9	−5	11
10	Freienbach	9	−3	10
11	Wettswil-Bonstetten	10	−3	9
12	Winterthur II	9	−4	9
13	Mendrisio	9	−2	8
14	Eschen / Mauren	8	−7	8
15	Locarno	9	−2	7
16	Widnau	9	−13	5