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St. Gallen II v Freienbach

St. Gallen II

1–0Full time

Freienbach

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 22:52

St. Gallen II 1–0 Freienbach ST. GALLEN II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said St. Gallen II win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.304

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

St. Gallen II win55%

Draw21%

Freienbach win24%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · st. gallen ii winPublished 10 Oct 22:32

55% The market–

Us55%

We make St. Gallen II a 55% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
St. Gallen II win	55%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Freienbach win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
St. Gallen II or draw	76%	–	–
St. Gallen II clean sheet	25%	–	–
Freienbach clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.0 3.7 2.8 1 5.8 8.5 5.9 2.8 2 6.5 9.0 6.4 3.0 3 4.8 6.6 4.6 2.2 4 2.6 3.7 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+St. Gallen II down, Freienbach across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,214 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.9% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 3.83 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

St. Gallen II at home: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Freienbach away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.20 goals for St. Gallen II, 1.42 for Freienbach. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.83

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~5 of 6

~~Last meetings~~STG 3–0 FRE · FRE 1–2 STG · FRE 1–1 STG · STG 3–3 FRE

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

ST. GALLEN II

LLWWWW0–3 · 1–5 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 2–1

FREIENBACH

DLWLWD3–3 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tuggen	9	+11	20
2	St. Gallen II	9	+4	19
3	Taverne	9	+11	17
4	Thalwil	9	+7	16
5	Baden	9	+5	16
6	Kosova	9	+4	16
7	Collina d'Oro	9	−1	14
8	Dietikon	9	−2	11
9	Gossau	9	−5	11
10	Freienbach	9	−3	10
11	Wettswil-Bonstetten	10	−3	9
12	Winterthur II	9	−4	9
13	Mendrisio	9	−2	8
14	Eschen / Mauren	8	−7	8
15	Locarno	9	−2	7
16	Widnau	9	−13	5