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Locarno v Kosova

Locarno

1–0Full time

Kosova

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Locarno 1–0 Kosova LOCARNO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Locarno win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.498

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Locarno win43%

Draw25%

Kosova win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · locarno winPublished 10 Oct 19:30

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Locarno a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Locarno win	43%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Kosova win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Locarno or draw	67%	–	–
Locarno clean sheet	26%	–	–
Kosova clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 5.7 7.0 4.9 2.3 1 8.1 11.4 7.5 3.5 2 6.6 8.8 5.9 2.7 3 3.5 4.7 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Locarno down, Kosova across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,214 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.9% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Locarno at home: 1.20 scored, 1.20 conceded a game (last 5). Kosova away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Locarno, 1.37 for Kosova. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

LOCARNO

DDDLWD2–2 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 2–2

KOSOVA

DWLWDW3–3 · 5–0 · 1–5 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tuggen	9	+11	20
2	St. Gallen II	9	+4	19
3	Taverne	9	+11	17
4	Thalwil	9	+7	16
5	Baden	9	+5	16
6	Kosova	9	+4	16
7	Collina d'Oro	9	−1	14
8	Dietikon	9	−2	11
9	Gossau	9	−5	11
10	Freienbach	9	−3	10
11	Wettswil-Bonstetten	10	−3	9
12	Winterthur II	9	−4	9
13	Mendrisio	9	−2	8
14	Eschen / Mauren	8	−7	8
15	Locarno	9	−2	7
16	Widnau	9	−13	5