Eschen / Mauren v Winterthur II prediction · 1. Liga Classic

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42

Eschen / Mauren 4–0 Winterthur II WINTERTHUR II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Winterthur II win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.626

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Winterthur II just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Eschen / Mauren 36%, draw 24%, Winterthur II 40%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Eschen / Mauren v Winterthur IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Eschen / Mauren win36%

Draw24%

Winterthur II win40%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 8

VenueSportpark Eschen-Mauren

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eschen / Mauren

Winterthur II

6Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Last match: 9 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Winterthur II	9	−4	9
14	Eschen / Mauren	9	−7	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · winterthur ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Winterthur II a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eschen / Mauren v Winterthur II~~1.51 – 1.61

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 9 v 9~~14 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eschen / Mauren win	36%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Winterthur II win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Eschen / Mauren or draw	60%	–	–
Eschen / Mauren clean sheet	20%	–	–
Winterthur II clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 4.7 7.0 5.7 3.1 1 6.6 10.8 8.5 4.5 2 5.1 8.0 6.3 3.4 3 2.6 4.1 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eschen / Mauren down, Winterthur II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.0% of games this season, across 79 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eschen / Mauren at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Winterthur II away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Eschen / Mauren, 1.61 for Winterthur II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ESC 1–0 WIN · WIN 3–3 ESC · ESC 4–1 WIN · WIN 2–0 ESC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 this season · since 29 Aug

ESCHEN / MAUREN

DLWLDD0–0 · 0–5 · 4–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 4–4

WINTERTHUR II

WLLWLL2–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St. Gallen II	10	+5	22
2	Tuggen	10	+11	21
3	Taverne	10	+13	20
4	Thalwil	10	+5	16
5	Baden	10	+4	16
6	Kosova	10	+3	16
7	Collina d'Oro	10	−1	15
8	Dietikon	10	0	14
9	Gossau	10	−4	14
10	Locarno	10	−1	10
11	Freienbach	10	−4	10
12	Wettswil-Bonstetten	10	−3	9
13	Winterthur II	9	−4	9
14	Eschen / Mauren	9	−7	9
15	Mendrisio	10	−4	8
16	Widnau	10	−13	6