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Dietikon v Mendrisio

Dietikon

2–0Full time

Mendrisio

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Dietikon 2–0 Mendrisio DIETIKON WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dietikon win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.405

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Dietikon win48%

Draw25%

Mendrisio win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dietikon winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Dietikon a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dietikon win	48%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Mendrisio win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Dietikon or draw	73%	–	–
Dietikon clean sheet	31%	–	–
Mendrisio clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 6.2 6.7 4.1 1 9.4 11.5 6.7 2.7 2 7.9 9.3 5.5 2.2 3 4.4 5.2 3.1 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dietikon down, Mendrisio across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,214 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.9% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dietikon at home: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Mendrisio away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for Dietikon, 1.19 for Mendrisio. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MEN 4–3 DIE · DIE 1–0 MEN

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

DIETIKON

DLWLDL2–2 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

MENDRISIO

LWLLDD1–2 · 2–0 · 3–4 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tuggen	9	+11	20
2	St. Gallen II	9	+4	19
3	Taverne	9	+11	17
4	Thalwil	9	+7	16
5	Baden	9	+5	16
6	Kosova	9	+4	16
7	Collina d'Oro	9	−1	14
8	Dietikon	9	−2	11
9	Gossau	9	−5	11
10	Freienbach	9	−3	10
11	Wettswil-Bonstetten	10	−3	9
12	Winterthur II	9	−4	9
13	Mendrisio	9	−2	8
14	Eschen / Mauren	8	−7	8
15	Locarno	9	−2	7
16	Widnau	9	−13	5