Muttenz v Schötz prediction · 1. Liga Classic

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Muttenz 2–0 Schötz MUTTENZ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Muttenz win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.457

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Muttenz are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Muttenz 45%, draw 20%, Schötz 35%. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 79%.

The AI’s read on Muttenz v SchötzBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Muttenz win45%

Draw20%

Schötz win35%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Muttenz

Schötz

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Schötz	10	+13	20
6	Muttenz	10	+4	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · muttenz winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Muttenz a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–2.1, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Muttenz v Schötz~~2.38 – 2.08

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 17 v 20~~6 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Muttenz win	45%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Schötz win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	82%	–	–
Both teams to score	79%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	65%	–	–
Muttenz or draw	65%	–	–
Muttenz clean sheet	13%	–	–
Schötz clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.9%

0123450 2.2 2.6 1 2.5 6.1 5.9 4.1 2.1 2 3.3 6.7 6.9 4.7 2.5 3 2.6 5.3 5.4 3.7 4 3.2 3.2 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Muttenz down, Schötz across0–5 goals a side shown (94.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 6 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Muttenz at home: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Schötz away: 3.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.38 goals for Muttenz, 2.08 for Schötz. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 6

~~Both scored~~6 of 6

~~Last meetings~~MUT 1–4 SCH · SCH 1–6 MUT · MUT 4–2 SCH · SCH 2–1 MUT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept

MUTTENZ

DWLWDW0–0 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 6–5

SCHÖTZ

WDWWWW3–2 · 3–3 · 3–1 · 5–1 · 5–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Langenthal	10	+9	23
2	Schötz	10	+13	20
3	Courtételle	10	+9	19
4	Concordia Basel	10	+7	17
5	Delémont	10	+7	17
6	Muttenz	10	+4	17
7	Solothurn	10	+5	16
8	Grasshopper II	10	−1	15
9	Buochs	10	−2	13
10	Muri-Gümligen	10	−4	13
11	Thun II	10	−3	12
12	FC Wohlen	10	−4	12
13	Bassecourt	10	−9	10
14	Zug	10	−10	10
15	Black Stars	10	−3	9
16	Münsingen	10	−18	2