Muri-Gümligen v Münsingen prediction · 1. Liga Classic

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Muri-Gümligen 1–0 Münsingen MURI-GÜMLIGEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Muri-Gümligen win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.446

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Muri-Gümligen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Muri-Gümligen 46%, draw 25%, Münsingen 29%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Muri-Gümligen v MünsingenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Muri-Gümligen win46%

Draw25%

Münsingen win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Muri-Gümligen

Münsingen

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

Last match: 18 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Muri-Gümligen	10	−4	13
16	Münsingen	10	−18	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · muri-gümligen winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Muri-Gümligen a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Muri-Gümligen v Münsingen~~1.67 – 1.30

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 13 v 2~~10 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Muri-Gümligen win	46%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Münsingen win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Muri-Gümligen or draw	71%	–	–
Muri-Gümligen clean sheet	28%	–	–
Münsingen clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.1 6.1 4.4 1 8.0 11.7 7.1 3.1 2 7.2 9.1 5.8 2.6 3 4.0 5.1 3.3 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Muri-Gümligen down, Münsingen across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Muri-Gümligen at home: 1.75 scored, 1.75 conceded a game (last 4). Münsingen away: 1.17 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Muri-Gümligen, 1.30 for Münsingen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept

MURI-GÜMLIGEN

WLLLLL2–0 · 0–2 · 3–4 · 0–3 · 2–3 · 0–2

MÜNSINGEN

LDLLLL1–4 · 3–3 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Langenthal	10	+9	23
2	Schötz	10	+13	20
3	Courtételle	10	+9	19
4	Concordia Basel	10	+7	17
5	Delémont	10	+7	17
6	Muttenz	10	+4	17
7	Solothurn	10	+5	16
8	Grasshopper II	10	−1	15
9	Buochs	10	−2	13
10	Muri-Gümligen	10	−4	13
11	Thun II	10	−3	12
12	FC Wohlen	10	−4	12
13	Bassecourt	10	−9	10
14	Zug	10	−10	10
15	Black Stars	10	−3	9
16	Münsingen	10	−18	2