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Delémont v Buochs

Delémont

4–0Full time

Buochs

1. Liga Classic - Group 2 · SAT 10 OCT · La Blancherie

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Delémont 4–0 Buochs DELÉMONT WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Delémont win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.401

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Delémont win48%

Draw24%

Buochs win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:00

Venue · La Blancherie

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · delémont winPublished 10 Oct 19:09

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Delémont a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Delémont win	48%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Buochs win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Delémont or draw	72%	–	–
Delémont clean sheet	27%	–	–
Buochs clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.3 5.2 3.9 1 7.4 11.0 6.8 3.0 2 7.2 9.2 6.0 2.7 3 4.4 5.6 3.6 4 2.0 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Delémont down, Buochs across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,213 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.3% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Delémont at home: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Buochs away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.81 goals for Delémont, 1.31 for Buochs. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~DEL 1–1 BUO · BUO 2–1 DEL · BUO 2–2 DEL · DEL 2–1 BUO

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

DELÉMONT

WDWLWL2–1 · 0–0 · 5–3 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 0–2

BUOCHS

LDWWLL3–5 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Langenthal	9	+9	22
2	Schötz	9	+10	17
3	Courtételle	9	+7	16
4	Grasshopper II	9	+2	15
5	Concordia Basel	9	+4	14
6	Muttenz	9	+3	14
7	Delémont	9	+3	14
8	Solothurn	9	+4	13
9	Buochs	9	+2	13
10	Muri-Gümligen	9	−2	13
11	Thun II	9	−2	12
12	FC Wohlen	9	−4	11
13	Bassecourt	9	−6	10
14	Black Stars	9	−2	9
15	Zug	9	−11	7
16	Münsingen	9	−17	2