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Concordia Basel v Grasshopper II

Concordia Basel

5–2Full time

Grasshopper II

1. Liga Classic - Group 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Concordia Basel 5–2 Grasshopper II GRASSHOPPER II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Grasshopper II win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.751

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Concordia Basel win30%

Draw24%

Grasshopper II win46%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · grasshopper ii winPublished 10 Oct 18:18

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Grasshopper II a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Concordia Basel win	30%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Grasshopper II win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Concordia Basel or draw	54%	–	–
Concordia Basel clean sheet	17%	–	–
Grasshopper II clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 4.8 6.5 6.4 3.8 1 5.1 10.7 8.9 5.4 2.5 2 4.1 7.2 6.4 3.8 3 3.5 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Concordia Basel down, Grasshopper II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,213 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.3% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Concordia Basel at home: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Grasshopper II away: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Concordia Basel, 1.80 for Grasshopper II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~CON 1–0 GRA · GRA 6–2 CON · CON 0–5 GRA · GRA 1–1 CON

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

CONCORDIA BASEL

DLLWWW2–2 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 3–2

GRASSHOPPER II

LLWLWW1–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Langenthal	9	+9	22
2	Schötz	9	+10	17
3	Courtételle	9	+7	16
4	Grasshopper II	9	+2	15
5	Concordia Basel	9	+4	14
6	Muttenz	9	+3	14
7	Delémont	9	+3	14
8	Solothurn	9	+4	13
9	Buochs	9	+2	13
10	Muri-Gümligen	9	−2	13
11	Thun II	9	−2	12
12	FC Wohlen	9	−4	11
13	Bassecourt	9	−6	10
14	Black Stars	9	−2	9
15	Zug	9	−11	7
16	Münsingen	9	−17	2