Black Stars v Solothurn prediction · 1. Liga Classic

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Black Stars 2–3 Solothurn SOLOTHURN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Solothurn win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.535

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Black Stars win37%

Draw23%

Solothurn win41%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Black Stars

Solothurn

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Solothurn	9	+4	13
14	Black Stars	9	−2	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · solothurn winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Solothurn a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Black Stars win	37%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Solothurn win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Black Stars or draw	59%	–	–
Black Stars clean sheet	16%	–	–
Solothurn clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.2 4.4 4.6 2.9 1 4.1 9.0 7.9 5.0 2.4 2 4.1 7.5 7.0 4.4 2.1 3 2.4 4.5 4.2 2.6 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Black Stars down, Solothurn across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,219 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.62 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Black Stars at home: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Solothurn away: 2.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Black Stars, 1.89 for Solothurn. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.62

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BLA 2–4 SOL · SOL 1–1 BLA · BLA 3–0 SOL · SOL 1–2 BLA

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

BLACK STARS

DWDLDD0–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 2–2

SOLOTHURN

WLLLWW5–3 · 2–3 · 3–5 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Langenthal	10	+9	23
2	Schötz	10	+13	20
3	Courtételle	10	+9	19
4	Concordia Basel	10	+7	17
5	Delémont	10	+7	17
6	Muttenz	10	+4	17
7	Grasshopper II	10	−1	15
8	Solothurn	9	+4	13
9	Buochs	10	−2	13
10	Muri-Gümligen	10	−4	13
11	Thun II	10	−3	12
12	FC Wohlen	10	−4	12
13	Bassecourt	10	−9	10
14	Black Stars	9	−2	9
15	Zug	9	−11	7
16	Münsingen	9	−17	2