Bassecourt v Muttenz prediction · 1. Liga Classic

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BassecourtDrawMuttenz

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Muttenz 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Muttenz are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bassecourt 28%, draw 23%, Muttenz 48%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Bassecourt v MuttenzBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Bassecourt win28%

Draw23%

Muttenz win48%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bassecourt

Muttenz

13Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

Last match: 24 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Muttenz	11	+6	20
14	Bassecourt	10	−9	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · muttenz winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Muttenz a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bassecourt v Muttenz~~1.40 – 1.89

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 10 v 20~~14 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bassecourt win	28%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Muttenz win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Bassecourt or draw	52%	–	–
Bassecourt clean sheet	16%	–	–
Muttenz clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.5 6.6 6.7 4.2 2.0 1 4.8 10.3 9.1 5.7 2.7 2 3.7 6.8 6.3 4.0 3 3.2 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bassecourt down, Muttenz across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,227 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.3% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bassecourt at home: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Muttenz away: 3.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.40 goals for Bassecourt, 1.89 for Muttenz. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~5 of 6

~~Last meetings~~BAS 2–2 MUT · MUT 2–1 BAS · MUT 2–0 BAS · BAS 4–2 MUT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept

BASSECOURT

WWWDLL2–1 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–4

MUTTENZ

WLWDWW3–0 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 6–5 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Langenthal	10	+9	23
2	Courtételle	11	+11	22
3	Schötz	11	+11	20
4	Muttenz	11	+6	20
5	Solothurn	11	+7	19
6	Delémont	10	+7	17
7	Concordia Basel	11	+6	17
8	Buochs	11	−1	16
9	Muri-Gümligen	11	−3	16
10	Grasshopper II	11	−3	15
11	Zug	11	−8	13
12	FC Wohlen	10	−4	12
13	Thun II	11	−5	12
14	Bassecourt	10	−9	10
15	Black Stars	11	−5	9
16	Münsingen	11	−19	2