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Vevey Sports v Stade Payerne

Vevey Sports

1–3Full time

Stade Payerne

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Vevey Sports 1–3 Stade Payerne VEVEY SPORTS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vevey Sports win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.881

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Vevey Sports win53%

Draw21%

Stade Payerne win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vevey sports winPublished 10 Oct 19:30

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Vevey Sports a 53% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vevey Sports win	53%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Stade Payerne win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Vevey Sports or draw	74%	–	–
Vevey Sports clean sheet	26%	–	–
Stade Payerne clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.6 4.3 3.1 1 6.4 9.2 6.2 2.9 2 6.8 9.1 6.2 2.9 3 4.7 6.2 4.3 2.0 4 2.5 3.3 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vevey Sports down, Stade Payerne across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,214 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Vevey Sports at home: 1.17 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Stade Payerne away: 1.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.08 goals for Vevey Sports, 1.38 for Stade Payerne. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

VEVEY SPORTS

LLLDLW1–2 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 4–0

STADE PAYERNE

LLLWLL2–6 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Azzurri	9	+10	21
2	Prishtina Bern	9	+14	20
3	Servette II	9	+2	18
4	Lausanne Sport II	9	+8	16
5	Sion II	9	+4	16
6	Portalban / Gletterens	10	+5	14
7	Naters	9	−3	14
8	Echallens	9	−1	12
9	Monthey	9	+1	11
10	Chênois	9	−1	11
11	Meyrin	9	+3	10
12	Lancy	9	−5	10
13	La Chaux-de-Fonds	9	−13	10
14	Coffrane	10	−4	7
15	Stade Payerne	9	−9	7
16	Vevey Sports	9	−11	4