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Sion II v Monthey

Sion II

1–2Full time

Monthey

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Sion II 1–2 Monthey SION II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sion II win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.703

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Sion II win43%

Draw24%

Monthey win32%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sion ii winPublished 10 Oct 19:30

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Sion II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sion II win	43%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Monthey win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Sion II or draw	68%	–	–
Sion II clean sheet	25%	–	–
Monthey clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.3 6.6 4.7 2.2 1 7.8 11.2 7.5 3.5 2 6.5 8.8 6.1 2.8 3 3.6 4.8 3.3 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sion II down, Monthey across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,214 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sion II at home: 1.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Monthey away: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Sion II, 1.39 for Monthey. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~MON 2–3 SIO · SIO 0–2 MON · MON 1–3 SIO · SIO 0–0 MON

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

SION II

WWDLWD2–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–1

MONTHEY

WDDLWL3–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Azzurri	9	+10	21
2	Prishtina Bern	9	+14	20
3	Servette II	9	+2	18
4	Lausanne Sport II	9	+8	16
5	Sion II	9	+4	16
6	Portalban / Gletterens	10	+5	14
7	Naters	9	−3	14
8	Echallens	9	−1	12
9	Monthey	9	+1	11
10	Chênois	9	−1	11
11	Meyrin	9	+3	10
12	Lancy	9	−5	10
13	La Chaux-de-Fonds	9	−13	10
14	Coffrane	10	−4	7
15	Stade Payerne	9	−9	7
16	Vevey Sports	9	−11	4