Monthey v Portalban / Gletterens prediction · 1. Liga Classic

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MontheyDrawPortalban / Gletterens

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Monthey 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Monthey are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Monthey 45%, draw 24%, Portalban / Gletterens 30%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Monthey v Portalban / GletterensBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Monthey win45%

Draw24%

Portalban / Gletterens win30%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Monthey

Portalban / Gletterens

4Days since last match9

Last match: 21 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

Last match: 16 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Portalban / Gletterens	10	+5	14
8	Monthey	10	+2	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · monthey winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Monthey a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Monthey v Portalban / Gletterens~~1.66 – 1.31

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 this season · since 4 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 14~~8 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Monthey win	45%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Portalban / Gletterens win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Monthey or draw	70%	–	–
Monthey clean sheet	27%	–	–
Portalban / Gletterens clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.5 6.5 4.4 1 8.3 11.3 7.2 3.2 2 7.0 9.1 5.9 2.6 3 3.9 5.0 3.3 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Monthey down, Portalban / Gletterens across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,227 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.3% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 2.62 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Monthey at home: 1.83 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Portalban / Gletterens away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for Monthey, 1.31 for Portalban / Gletterens. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~2.62

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~POR 1–1 MON · MON 1–1 POR · POR 1–3 MON · MON 1–0 POR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 this season · since 4 Sept

MONTHEY

DDLWLW1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–1

PORTALBAN / GLETTERENS

LWLDWW1–2 · 4–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Azzurri Bienne	11	+16	27
2	Prishtina Bern	11	+22	26
3	Servette II	11	+3	22
4	Lausanne Sport II	11	+7	17
5	Naters	11	−6	17
6	Sion II	11	+1	16
7	Portalban / Gletterens	10	+5	14
8	Monthey	10	+2	14
9	Chênois	11	−1	14
10	Lancy	11	−2	13
11	La Chaux-de-Fonds	11	−15	13
12	Echallens	11	−10	12
13	Meyrin	11	+2	11
14	Stade Payerne	11	−7	11
15	Coffrane	10	−4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	−13	4