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Lancy v La Chaux-de-Fonds

Lancy

5–1Full time

La Chaux-de-Fonds

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 23:31

Lancy 5–1 La Chaux-de-Fonds LANCY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lancy win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.242

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Lancy win60%

Draw20%

La Chaux-de-Fonds win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lancy winPublished 10 Oct 22:52

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Lancy a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lancy win	60%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
La Chaux-de-Fonds win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Lancy or draw	80%	–	–
Lancy clean sheet	31%	–	–
La Chaux-de-Fonds clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.5%

0123450 3.7 3.9 2.4 1 7.2 9.0 5.2 2.1 2 8.1 9.5 5.6 2.3 3 5.9 6.9 4.1 4 3.3 3.9 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lancy down, La Chaux-de-Fonds across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,214 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lancy at home: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). La Chaux-de-Fonds away: 1.17 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.21 goals for Lancy, 1.20 for La Chaux-de-Fonds. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~LAN 3–4 LAC · LAC 0–2 LAN · LAN 3–0 LAC · LAC 0–3 LAN

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

LANCY

WLLLLW2–1 · 1–3 · 2–4 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 2–1

LA CHAUX-DE-FONDS

LLLWLL0–4 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–6 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Azzurri	9	+10	21
2	Prishtina Bern	9	+14	20
3	Servette II	9	+2	18
4	Lausanne Sport II	9	+8	16
5	Sion II	9	+4	16
6	Portalban / Gletterens	10	+5	14
7	Naters	9	−3	14
8	Echallens	9	−1	12
9	Monthey	9	+1	11
10	Chênois	9	−1	11
11	Meyrin	9	+3	10
12	Lancy	9	−5	10
13	La Chaux-de-Fonds	9	−13	10
14	Coffrane	10	−4	7
15	Stade Payerne	9	−9	7
16	Vevey Sports	9	−11	4