La Chaux-de-Fonds v Sion II prediction · 1. Liga Classic

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24

La Chaux-de-Fonds 3–1 Sion II SION II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sion II win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.819

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sion II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: La Chaux-de-Fonds 28%, draw 23%, Sion II 49%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on La Chaux-de-Fonds v Sion IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

La Chaux-de-Fonds win28%

Draw23%

Sion II win49%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

La Chaux-de-Fonds

Sion II

7Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Sion II	10	+3	16
14	La Chaux-de-Fonds	10	−17	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sion ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Sion II a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · La Chaux-de-Fonds v Sion II~~1.32 – 1.84

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 16~~14 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
La Chaux-de-Fonds win	28%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Sion II win	49%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
La Chaux-de-Fonds or draw	51%	–	–
La Chaux-de-Fonds clean sheet	16%	–	–
Sion II clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 4.7 7.6 7.2 4.4 2.1 1 5.4 10.5 9.2 5.7 2.6 2 3.8 6.7 6.1 3.7 3 3.0 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+La Chaux-de-Fonds down, Sion II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.38 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

La Chaux-de-Fonds at home: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sion II away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for La Chaux-de-Fonds, 1.84 for Sion II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.38

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~LAC 2–0 SIO · SIO 3–1 LAC · LAC 1–0 SIO · SIO 1–0 LAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept

LA CHAUX-DE-FONDS

LLWLLL1–2 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–6 · 1–4 · 1–5

SION II

WDLWDL2–1 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Azzurri Bienne	10	+15	24
2	Prishtina Bern	10	+18	23
3	Servette II	10	+3	21
4	Lausanne Sport II	10	+8	17
5	Sion II	10	+3	16
6	Portalban / Gletterens	10	+5	14
7	Monthey	10	+2	14
8	Naters	10	−7	14
9	Lancy	10	−1	13
10	Echallens	10	−6	12
11	Meyrin	10	+3	11
12	Chênois	10	−2	11
13	Stade Payerne	10	−7	10
14	La Chaux-de-Fonds	10	−17	10
15	Coffrane	10	−4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	−13	4