Echallens v Prishtina Bern prediction · 1. Liga Classic

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45

Echallens 0–4 Prishtina Bern PRISHTINA BERN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Prishtina Bern win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.376

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Prishtina Bern are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Echallens 29%, draw 21%, Prishtina Bern 50%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Echallens v Prishtina BernBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Echallens win29%

Draw21%

Prishtina Bern win50%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Echallens

Prishtina Bern

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

Last match: 18 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Prishtina Bern	10	+18	23
10	Echallens	10	−6	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · prishtina bern winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Prishtina Bern a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Echallens v Prishtina Bern~~1.60 – 2.15

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 23~~10 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Echallens win	29%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Prishtina Bern win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Echallens or draw	50%	–	–
Echallens clean sheet	12%	–	–
Prishtina Bern clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.5%

0123450 2.7 4.9 5.4 3.9 2.1 1 3.6 8.3 8.5 6.1 3.3 2 3.1 6.4 6.7 4.8 2.6 3 3.4 3.6 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Echallens down, Prishtina Bern across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Echallens at home: 2.67 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Prishtina Bern away: 2.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Echallens, 2.15 for Prishtina Bern. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ECH 2–1 PRI · PRI 1–1 ECH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept

ECHALLENS

DWLLWL1–1 · 3–0 · 3–4 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 1–6

PRISHTINA BERN

DWWLWW1–1 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Azzurri Bienne	10	+15	24
2	Prishtina Bern	10	+18	23
3	Servette II	10	+3	21
4	Lausanne Sport II	10	+8	17
5	Sion II	10	+3	16
6	Portalban / Gletterens	10	+5	14
7	Monthey	10	+2	14
8	Naters	10	−7	14
9	Lancy	10	−1	13
10	Echallens	10	−6	12
11	Meyrin	10	+3	11
12	Chênois	10	−2	11
13	Stade Payerne	10	−7	10
14	La Chaux-de-Fonds	10	−17	10
15	Coffrane	10	−4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	−13	4