Coffrane v Vevey Sports prediction · 1. Liga Classic

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CoffraneDrawVevey Sports

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Vevey Sports 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vevey Sports are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Coffrane 33%, draw 22%, Vevey Sports 44%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Coffrane v Vevey SportsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Coffrane win33%

Draw22%

Vevey Sports win44%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Coffrane

Vevey Sports

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Erste Liga Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Coffrane	10	−4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	−13	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vevey sports winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Vevey Sports a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Coffrane v Vevey Sports~~1.60 – 1.88

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 7 v 4~~15 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Coffrane win	33%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Vevey Sports win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Coffrane or draw	56%	–	–
Coffrane clean sheet	16%	–	–
Vevey Sports clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.5 5.7 5.5 3.5 1 4.8 9.4 8.5 5.3 2.6 2 4.0 7.2 6.7 4.2 2.0 3 2.2 3.9 3.6 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Coffrane down, Vevey Sports across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.75 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Coffrane at home: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Vevey Sports away: 2.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Coffrane, 1.88 for Vevey Sports. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~COF 1–0 VEV · VEV 1–2 COF · COF 2–3 VEV · VEV 2–0 COF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept

COFFRANE

LLLWDL0–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–3

VEVEY SPORTS

LLDLWL1–2 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 4–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Azzurri Bienne	10	+15	24
2	Prishtina Bern	10	+18	23
3	Servette II	10	+3	21
4	Lausanne Sport II	10	+8	17
5	Sion II	10	+3	16
6	Portalban / Gletterens	10	+5	14
7	Monthey	10	+2	14
8	Naters	10	−7	14
9	Lancy	10	−1	13
10	Echallens	10	−6	12
11	Meyrin	10	+3	11
12	Chênois	10	−2	11
13	Stade Payerne	10	−7	10
14	La Chaux-de-Fonds	10	−17	10
15	Coffrane	10	−4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	−13	4