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Varbergs BoIS FC v Helsingborg

Varbergs BoIS FC
0–0Full time
Helsingborg

Superettan · MON 19 OCT · Påskbergsvallen

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 21:01
Varbergs BoIS FC 0–0 Helsingborg VARBERGS BOIS FC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Varbergs BoIS FC win51%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.902
The market’s Brier score0.865

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Varbergs BoIS FC win at 51%.
  2. 2′Much as we predicted: Varbergs BoIS FC was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–25
  3. 2′KICK-OFF Varbergs BoIS FC v Helsingborg
  4. 42′Varbergs BoIS FC have had 8 attempts to 0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 42–35–23
  5. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Helsingborg
  6. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Varbergs BoIS FC win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Varbergs BoIS FC 0–0 Helsingborg
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Varbergs BoIS FC 0–0 Helsingborg
  9. 49′We said Varbergs BoIS FC at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–39–22
  10. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Varbergs BoIS FC win 39%)
  11. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 36–42–21
  12. 59′We said Varbergs BoIS FC at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–45–20
  13. 63′Varbergs BoIS FC have had 12 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 32–49–19
  14. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Helsingborg
  15. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Varbergs BoIS FC win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
  16. 67′We said Varbergs BoIS FC at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–18
  17. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Varbergs BoIS FC · On: Shanyder Borgelin · Off: Dante Oliver Alfonsi
  18. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Varbergs BoIS FC · On: Jonathan nilsson · Off: Wilhelm Arlig
  19. 73′We said Varbergs BoIS FC at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–61–15
  20. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Varbergs BoIS FC win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
  21. 78′We said Varbergs BoIS FC at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–70–12
  22. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Varbergs BoIS FC · On: Lucas·Sibelius · Off: Albin Winbo
  23. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Helsingborg · On: Julian Larsson · Off: Max Svensson
  24. 83′We said Varbergs BoIS FC at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–0 · 12–80–8
  25. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Varbergs BoIS FC win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
  26. 86′We said Varbergs BoIS FC at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
  27. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Varbergs BoIS FC · On: oliver bryneus · Off: N.Johansson
  28. 92′We said Varbergs BoIS FC at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–3
  29. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Helsingborg
  30. FTFULL TIME Varbergs BoIS FC 0–0 Helsingborg
  31. FTVarbergs BoIS FC 0–0 Helsingborg · Varbergs BoIS FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Varbergs BoIS FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Varbergs BoIS FC 51%, draw 24%, Helsingborg 25%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Varbergs BoIS FC v HelsingborgBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Varbergs BoIS FC win51%
Draw24%
Helsingborg win25%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 18:05

RoundMatchday 27

VenuePåskbergsvallen

RefereeJasmin Svraka

Line-ups

Varbergs BoIS FC

4-3-3

Helsingborg

3-5-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Varbergs BoIS FC

Helsingborg

9Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Superettan

Last match: 11 Oct · Superettan

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Varbergs BoIS FC26+1145
12Helsingborg26−1130

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Varbergs BoIS FC

4-3-3

29 K. Strindholm

15 N. Johansson

2 G. Broman

17 E. Tellgren

22 N. Dahlström

21 I. Vidjeskog

28 E. Sadiku

8 A. Winbo

7 W. Ärlig

14 O. Alfonsi

9 L. Shabani

Coach · Victor Salwén

Substitutes

49 · S. Borgelin

24 · O. Brynéus

1 · O. Ekman

19 · J. Nilsson

23 · L. Sibelius

16 · A. Thorsson

20 · O. Werner

3 · H. Zackrisson

42 · Elton Johansson

Helsingborg

3-5-2

30 E. Rådahl

4 M. Gudmann

3 J. Voelkerling Persson

2 Obafemi Awodesu

31 E. Lindell

14 L. Kjellnäs

45 D. Amadou

10 M. Svensson

5 S. Bengtsson

11 A. Akimey

9 Alexander Johansson

Coach · M. Stahre

Substitutes

22 · T. Rupil

19 · L. Persson

27 · D. N'Diaye

21 · Julian Larsson

42 · L. Hyppanen

20 · L. Hedenberg

1 · J. Brattberg

58 · C. Biten

8 · O. Addo

Our number · varbergs bois fc winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
51% The market51%
Us51%
Market51%

We make Varbergs BoIS FC a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Varbergs BoIS FC v Helsingborg1.80 – 1.19
Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 30 AugW3 D2 L1 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 45 v 303 v 12
The market · Varbergs BoIS FC win51% · ours 51%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 13 OCT 05:4819 OCT 17:42
Our probability · Varbergs BoIS FC win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Varbergs BoIS FC win51%51%0
Draw24%26%−2
Helsingborg win25%24%+1
Over 2.5 goals57%55%+2
Both teams to score58%56%+2
Over 1.5 goals80%77%+3
Over 3.5 goals35%33%+2
Varbergs BoIS FC or draw75%76%−1
Varbergs BoIS FC clean sheet31%––
Helsingborg clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%
0123450 5.6 5.6 3.6 1 8.6 11.1 6.3 2.5 2 8.1 9.5 5.7 2.3 3 4.9 5.7 3.4 4 2.2 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Varbergs BoIS FC down, Helsingborg across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.29
Over 2.54 of 7
Both scored3 of 7
Last meetingsHEL 1–3 VAR · HEL 1–2 VAR · VAR 1–0 HEL · VAR 0–3 HEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 30 Aug

VARBERGS BOIS FC

WDLWWD3–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 1–1

HELSINGBORG

DLWLDL1–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1IFK Norrkoping26+3658
2Falkenbergs FF27+1551
3Varbergs BoIS FC26+1145
4Ostersunds FK27+945
5Landskrona BoIS27+1343
6Oddevold27+439
7Osters IF27039
8United Nordic27−339
9Sandviken27+535
10Ljungskile SK27−132
11IFK Varnamo27−1232
12Helsingborg26−1130
13Norrby IF27−627
14IK brage27−926
15Orebro SK26−1225
16GIF Sundsvall27−3919

The competition's standings before kick-off.