United Nordic v GIF Sundsvall prediction · Superettan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

United NordicDrawGIF Sundsvall

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · United Nordic 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

United Nordic are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: United Nordic 59%, draw 22%, GIF Sundsvall 19%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on United Nordic v GIF SundsvallBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

United Nordic win59%

Draw22%

GIF Sundsvall win19%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 29

VenueSodertalje Fotbollsarena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

United Nordic

GIF Sundsvall

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · Superettan

Last match: 23 Oct · Superettan

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	United Nordic	28	−6	39
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	−46	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · united nordic winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make United Nordic a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · United Nordic v GIF Sundsvall~~1.98 – 1.02

~~Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 9 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 39 v 19~~8 v 16

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
United Nordic win	59%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
GIF Sundsvall win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
United Nordic or draw	81%	–	–
United Nordic clean sheet	36%	–	–
GIF Sundsvall clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 5.6 4.7 2.6 1 9.5 10.4 5.1 2 9.7 9.7 5.0 3 6.4 6.4 3.3 4 3.2 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+United Nordic down, GIF Sundsvall across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,440 Superettan matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.5% of games this season, across 220 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

United Nordic at home: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). GIF Sundsvall away: 0.17 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.98 goals for United Nordic, 1.02 for GIF Sundsvall. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~GIF 3–2 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 9 Sept

UNITED NORDIC

LDLLWL2–4 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–4

GIF SUNDSVALL

LLWLLL0–3 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 0–7

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	IFK Norrkoping	27	+36	59
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	+15	51
3	Ostersunds FK	28	+12	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	27	+11	46
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	+13	43
6	Oddevold	28	+11	42
7	Osters IF	28	+1	42
8	United Nordic	28	−6	39
9	Sandviken	28	+6	38
10	Ljungskile SK	27	−1	32
11	IFK Varnamo	28	−13	32
12	Helsingborg	27	−11	31
13	Norrby IF	27	−6	27
14	IK brage	28	−10	26
15	Orebro SK	27	−12	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	−46	19