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Sandviken v Ostersunds FK
Sandviken
Ostersunds FKSuperettan · SAT 17 OCT · Jernvallens Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sandviken win at 46%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Sandviken was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–28
- 2′KICK-OFF Sandviken v Ostersunds FK
- 32′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Ostersunds FK
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Sandviken win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Sandviken 0–0 Ostersunds FK
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Nils Kasper Zidane·Harletun · Sandviken
- 46′SECOND HALF Sandviken 0–0 Ostersunds FK
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Sandviken win 35%)
- 50′We said Sandviken at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–24
- 52′We said Sandviken at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–43–23
- 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 32–45–23
- 61′We said Sandviken at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Wilhelm Nilsson · Sandviken
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Ostersunds FK · On: Molls Donald Ntchamda · Off: Curtis Edwards
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Ostersunds FK · On: Mario Palomino · Off: Abel William·Stensrud
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Sandviken win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 69′We said Sandviken at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–59–17
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sandviken · On: Christian Wagner · Off: Karl Bohm
- 75′We said Sandviken at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Sandviken win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 80′We said Sandviken at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
- 84′We said Sandviken at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Sandviken · On: Nino Geiger · Off: Mohammed Sadat Abubakari
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Sandviken · On: Yabets yaya yaliso · Off: Daniel Bergman
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Ostersunds FK · On: Jonathan westerberg · Off: Yannick Adjoumani
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Sandviken win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 91′We said Sandviken at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Sandviken · On: Liam vabo · Off: Victor Backman
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Sandviken · On: Nicholas Vainio · Off: Nils Kasper Zidane·Harletun
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Mario Palomino · Ostersunds FK
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Ostersunds FK · On: Luka Bozickovic · Off: Emil Özkan
- FTFULL TIME Sandviken 0–0 Ostersunds FK
- FTSandviken 0–0 Ostersunds FK · Sandviken win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSandviken are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sandviken 46%, draw 26%, Ostersunds FK 28%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Sandviken win46%
Ostersunds FK win28%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 27
VenueJernvallens Arena
RefereeFredrik Alknas
Match timeline
All events
SandvikenMIN
Ostersunds FKEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Sandviken
4-2-3-1
Ostersunds FK
3-4-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sandviken
Ostersunds FK
Last match: 10 Oct · Superettan
Last match: 10 Oct · Superettan
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Sandviken
4-2-3-1
1 H. Sveijer
26 L. Tagesson
23 K. Harletun
17 W. Nilsson
18 C. Rogers
22 D. Bergman
16 M. Abubakari
11 V. Backman
7 J. Arvidsson
12 A. Carleton
8 K. Bohm
Coach · Baran Coskun
Substitutes
30 · O. Lindell
3 · N. Geiger
6 · L. Vabo
9 · C. Wagner
13 · I. Lindholm
20 · N. Vainio
24 · Y. Yaliso Yaya
25 · I. Sangare
28 · A. Lund
Ostersunds FK
3-4-3
12 R. Forsell
19 D. Widgren
14 S. Anyanwu
3 H. Azzi
27 D. Miljanovic
17 C. Edwards
16 A. Begic
28 Y. Adjoumani
10 S. Marklund
9 A. Stensrud
8 E. Ozkan
Coach · Nemanja Miljanovic
Substitutes
1 · M. Uppenberg
2 · E. Caarls
4 · J. Westerberg
5 · A. A. Qasem
6 · J. Masllorens
15 · D. Molls
18 · M. Palomino
21 · L. Bozickovic
29 · E. Y. Worke
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Sandviken
4-2-3-1
1 H. Sveijer
26 L. Tagesson
23 K. Harletun
17 W. Nilsson
18 C. Rogers
22 D. Bergman
16 M. Abubakari
11 V. Backman
7 J. Arvidsson
12 A. Carleton
8 K. Bohm
Coach · Baran Coskun
Substitutes
30 · O. Lindell
3 · N. Geiger
6 · L. Vabo
9 · C. Wagner
13 · I. Lindholm
20 · N. Vainio
24 · Y. Yaliso Yaya
25 · I. Sangare
28 · A. Lund
Ostersunds FK
3-4-3
12 R. Forsell
19 D. Widgren
14 S. Anyanwu
3 H. Azzi
27 D. Miljanovic
17 C. Edwards
16 A. Begic
28 Y. Adjoumani
10 S. Marklund
9 A. Stensrud
8 E. Ozkan
Coach · Nemanja Miljanovic
Substitutes
1 · M. Uppenberg
2 · E. Caarls
4 · J. Westerberg
5 · A. A. Qasem
6 · J. Masllorens
15 · D. Molls
18 · M. Palomino
21 · L. Bozickovic
29 · E. Y. Worke
We make Sandviken a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 46% now. The market has not moved either.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandviken win | 46% | 30% | +16 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| Ostersunds FK win | 28% | 42% | −14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 49% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 54% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 28% | +1 |
| Sandviken or draw | 72% | 58% | +14 |
| Sandviken clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Ostersunds FK clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 29 Aug
SANDVIKEN
OSTERSUNDS FK
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 26 | +36 | 58 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 26 | +14 | 48 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 26 | +11 | 45 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 26 | +9 | 44 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 26 | +14 | 43 |
| 6 | Oddevold | 26 | +6 | 39 |
| 7 | Osters IF | 26 | −2 | 36 |
| 8 | United Nordic | 26 | −4 | 36 |
| 9 | Sandviken | 26 | +5 | 34 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 26 | −11 | 30 |
| 11 | Ljungskile SK | 26 | −3 | 29 |
| 12 | IFK Varnamo | 26 | −13 | 29 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 26 | −5 | 27 |
| 14 | IK brage | 26 | −7 | 26 |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 26 | −12 | 25 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 26 | −38 | 19 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Osters IF
United Nordic
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall