Oddevold v IK brage prediction · Superettan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

OddevoldDrawIK brage

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Oddevold 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Oddevold are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Oddevold 53%, draw 23%, IK brage 24%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Oddevold v IK brageBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Oddevold win53%

Draw23%

IK brage win24%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 29

VenueRimnersvallen

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Oddevold

IK brage

7Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · Superettan

Last match: 24 Oct · Superettan

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Oddevold	28	+11	42
14	IK brage	27	−9	26

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oddevold winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Oddevold a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Oddevold v IK brage~~1.91 – 1.23

~~Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 9 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 42 v 26~~6 v 14

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Oddevold win	53%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
IK brage win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Oddevold or draw	76%	–	–
Oddevold clean sheet	29%	–	–
IK brage clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 4.9 4.9 3.3 1 7.8 10.5 6.2 2.6 2 7.8 9.5 5.9 2.4 3 5.0 6.1 3.7 4 2.4 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Oddevold down, IK brage across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,437 Superettan matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.3% of games this season, across 217 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.80 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Oddevold at home: 2.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). IK brage away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Oddevold, 1.23 for IK brage. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.80

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~4 of 5

~~Last meetings~~IKB 3–4 ODD · ODD 4–0 IKB · IKB 1–2 ODD · IKB 1–2 ODD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 9 Sept

ODDEVOLD

WDLWLW1–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 7–0

IK BRAGE

DDLWLL1–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 4–5

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	IFK Norrkoping	27	+36	59
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	+15	51
3	Ostersunds FK	28	+12	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	27	+11	46
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	+13	43
6	Oddevold	28	+11	42
7	Osters IF	27	0	39
8	United Nordic	28	−6	39
9	Sandviken	28	+6	38
10	Ljungskile SK	27	−1	32
11	IFK Varnamo	28	−13	32
12	Helsingborg	27	−11	31
13	Norrby IF	27	−6	27
14	IK brage	27	−9	26
15	Orebro SK	27	−12	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	−46	19