Home › Football › Superettan › Landskrona BoIS v Sandviken

Landskrona BoIS v Sandviken

Landskrona BoIS

3–2Full time

Sandviken

Superettan · SAT 10 OCT · Landskrona IP

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Landskrona BoIS 3–2 Sandviken LANDSKRONA BOIS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Landskrona BoIS win~~46%

~~The market said~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.444

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.347

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Landskrona BoIS win at 46%.
1′Much as we predicted: Landskrona BoIS was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–25–29
1′KICK-OFF Landskrona BoIS v Sandviken
23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Sandviken
31′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Nils Kasper Zidane·Harletun · Sandviken
37′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Andre Alvarez Perez · Landskrona BoIS
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Landskrona BoIS 1–0 Sandviken
45′Landskrona BoIS ahead on 45′ through Andreas Murbeck. 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–1
45′⚽ GOAL · 42' Landskrona BoIS 1–0 Sandviken · Constantino Capotondi
45′⚽ GOAL · 47' Landskrona BoIS 1–0 Sandviken
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Landskrona BoIS 2–0 Sandviken · Constantino Capotondi
45′HALF-TIME Landskrona BoIS 2–0 Sandviken
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Landskrona BoIS win: 46% at kick-off, 93% now
47′SECOND HALF Landskrona BoIS 2–0 Sandviken
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Landskrona BoIS 2–1 Sandviken · Andreas Murbeck
63′Johan Arvidsson scores for Sandviken on 58′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–4
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Landskrona BoIS win: 46% at kick-off, 79% now
64′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sandviken · On: Mohammed Sadat Abubakari · Off: Fabian Andersson Corrected
64′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sandviken · On: Nino Geiger · Off: Nils Kasper Zidane·Harletun Corrected
64′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sandviken · On: Karl Bohm · Off: Daniel Bergman Corrected
64′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sandviken · On: christopher rogers · Off: Victor Backman Corrected
64′⚽ GOAL · 58' Landskrona BoIS 2–1 Sandviken · Johan Arvidsson
75′⚽ GOAL · 73' Landskrona BoIS 2–2 Sandviken
79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Landskrona BoIS · On: kota sakurai · Off: Zakaria Loukili Corrected
79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Landskrona BoIS · On: Edi Sylisufaj · Off: Constantino Capotondi Corrected
79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Sandviken · On: Liam vabo · Off: Mohammed Mahammed Corrected
83′73′ and it is 2–2: Mohammed Sadat Abubakari on the scoresheet for Sandviken. 2–2 · 11–81–8
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Landskrona BoIS win: 46% at kick-off, 11% now
83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Landskrona BoIS win 11%)
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Landskrona BoIS 3–2 Sandviken · Mohammed Sadat Abubakari
90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Landskrona BoIS 3–2 Sandviken
FTFULL TIME Landskrona BoIS 3–2 Sandviken
FTLandskrona BoIS 3–2 Sandviken · Landskrona BoIS win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Landskrona BoIS win46%

Draw25%

Sandviken win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

Venue · Landskrona IP

Referee · Jasmin Svraka

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Landskrona BoIS

4-3-3

30 M. Pettersson

4 G. Bruzelius

26 A. Murbeck

6 T. Karlsson

3 G. Weststrom

5 A. Egnell

18 A. Perez

23 Z. Loukili

21 K. Jensen

14 M. Andreasen

10 C. Capotondi

Coach · Robin Asterhed

Substitutes

1 · A. Andersson

8 · A. Smajic

9 · E. Sylisufaj

12 · E. Moungam

13 · K. Sakurai

15 · M. Mohamed

28 · M. Milosevic

36 · E. Hebibovic

Sandviken

4-2-3-1

1 H. Sveijer

26 L. Tagesson

23 K. Harletun

2 G. Thorn

17 W. Nilsson

22 D. Bergman

15 F. Andersson

11 V. Backman

14 M. Mahammed

12 A. Carleton

7 J. Arvidsson

Coach · Baran Coskun

Substitutes

30 · O. Lindell

3 · N. Geiger

6 · L. Vabo

8 · K. Bohm

13 · I. Lindholm

16 · M. Abubakari

18 · C. Rogers

20 · N. Vainio

25 · I. Sangare

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Landskrona BoIS

4-3-3

30 M. Pettersson

4 G. Bruzelius

26 A. Murbeck

6 T. Karlsson

3 G. Weststrom

5 A. Egnell

18 A. Perez

23 Z. Loukili

21 K. Jensen

14 M. Andreasen

10 C. Capotondi

Coach · Robin Asterhed

Substitutes

1 · A. Andersson

8 · A. Smajic

9 · E. Sylisufaj

12 · E. Moungam

13 · K. Sakurai

15 · M. Mohamed

28 · M. Milosevic

36 · E. Hebibovic

Sandviken

4-2-3-1

1 H. Sveijer

26 L. Tagesson

23 K. Harletun

2 G. Thorn

17 W. Nilsson

22 D. Bergman

15 F. Andersson

11 V. Backman

14 M. Mahammed

12 A. Carleton

7 J. Arvidsson

Coach · Baran Coskun

Substitutes

30 · O. Lindell

3 · N. Geiger

6 · L. Vabo

8 · K. Bohm

13 · I. Lindholm

16 · M. Abubakari

18 · C. Rogers

20 · N. Vainio

25 · I. Sangare

Our number · landskrona bois winPublished 10 Oct 12:19

46% The market52%

Us46%

~~Market~~52%

We make Landskrona BoIS a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · landskrona bois win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 50% to 52% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Landskrona BoIS win	46%	52%	−6
Draw	25%	24%	+1
Sandviken win	29%	24%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	55%	59%	−4
Both teams to score	57%	59%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	78%	80%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	33%	38%	−5
Landskrona BoIS or draw	71%	76%	−5
Landskrona BoIS clean sheet	29%	–	–
Sandviken clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.2 6.7 4.4 1 8.7 11.8 7.1 3.0 2 7.4 9.2 5.7 2.4 3 4.0 5.0 3.1 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Landskrona BoIS down, Sandviken across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,420 Superettan matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Superettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 200 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 1.80 goals a meeting; 1 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Landskrona BoIS at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sandviken away: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Landskrona BoIS, 1.25 for Sandviken. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 10 Oct 11:37. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 5

~~Both scored~~0 of 5

~~Last meetings~~SAN 0–1 LAN · SAN 0–1 LAN · LAN 1–0 SAN · SAN 2–0 LAN

Form · last six in Superettan

LANDSKRONA BOIS

DDWLWW1–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 4–1

SANDVIKEN

DDWLDW1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 4–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	IFK Norrkoping	25	+32	55
2	Falkenbergs FF	25	+13	45
3	Varbergs BoIS FC	25	+11	44
4	Ostersunds FK	25	+9	43
5	Landskrona BoIS	25	+13	40
6	Oddevold	25	+4	36
7	Osters IF	25	0	36
8	United Nordic	25	−2	36
9	Sandviken	25	+6	34
10	Helsingborg	25	−9	30
11	IFK Varnamo	25	−12	29
12	Ljungskile SK	25	−3	28
13	Norrby IF	25	−7	24
14	Orebro SK	25	−12	24
15	IK brage	25	−9	23
16	GIF Sundsvall	25	−34	19