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IK brage v Osters IF
IK brage
Osters IFSuperettan · SAT 24 OCT · Domnarvsvallen
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Osters IF win at 39%.
- 1′KICK-OFF IK brage v Osters IF
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Osters IF 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 36–25–39
- 7′We said Osters IF at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 64%. 0–1 · 17–19–64
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' IK brage 0–1 Osters IF
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Osters IF win: 39% at kick-off, 64% now
- 8′Osters IF score on 7′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–19–64
- 9′Osters IF score on 8′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–19–64
- 16′We said Osters IF at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–1 · 16–20–65
- 19′We said Osters IF at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–2 · 5–10–85
- 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' IK brage 0–2 Osters IF
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Osters IF win: 39% at kick-off, 85% now
- 28′Osters IF ahead on 18′ through Matias Tamminen. 0–2. 0–2 · 4–9–86
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Osters IF
- 38′🟨 YELLOW · 34' mass sise · IK brage
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Osters IF win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
- 43′We said Osters IF at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–2 · 3–8–90
- 44′We said Osters IF at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 0–3 · 0–2–98
- 44′We said Osters IF at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–4 · 0–0–100
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' IK brage 0–3 Osters IF
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' IK brage 0–4 Osters IF
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Osters IF win: 39% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 45′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
- 45′HALF-TIME IK brage 1–4 Osters IF
- 46′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–2–98
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' IK brage 1–4 Osters IF
- 46′SECOND HALF IK brage 1–4 Osters IF
- 51′IK brage find the net on 45′. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–1–98
- 51′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' IK brage
- 51′🟨 YELLOW · 45+3' Osters IF
- 54′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–4 · 2–6–92
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' IK brage 2–4 Osters IF
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Osters IF win: 39% at kick-off, 92% now
- 57′A goal for IK brage on 54′ — 2–4. 2–4 · 1–6–93
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 46' IK brage · On: Gideon Granstrom · Off: Ozor Victor Okeke
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 46' IK brage · On: Alex Mortensen · Off: mass sise
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 46' IK brage · On: Gustav Berggren · Off: Lasse Bruun Madsen
- 59′55′: Alex Mortensen on the scoresheet for IK brage. 2–5 · 0–1–99
- 59′7 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–5 · 0–1–99
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' IK brage 2–5 Osters IF
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Osters IF win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
- 60′That is 8, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 3–5 · 1–5–94
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' IK brage 3–5 Osters IF
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Osters IF win: 39% at kick-off, 94% now
- 62′A goal for Osters IF on 58′. 3–5 · 1–5–94
- 64′IK brage find the net on 61′. 3–5. 3–5 · 1–4–95
- 69′We said Osters IF at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 4–5 · 4–18–78
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' IK brage 4–5 Osters IF
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Osters IF win: 39% at kick-off, 78% now
- 70′9 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 4–5 · 4–18–78
- 71′A goal for IK brage on 69′ — 4–5. 4–5 · 3–18–79
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Osters IF · On: Tatu Varmanen · Off: Raymond Adjei
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' IK brage · On: Anders Hellblom · Off: Noah Östberg
- 72′We said Osters IF at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 4–5 · 3–17–80
- 77′🟥 RED CARD · 77' IK brage
- 78′IK brage have ten men and Osters IF ten after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 4–5 · 2–14–85
- 78′🟥 RED CARD · 76' Osters IF
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Osters IF win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Osters IF · On: Hannes·Bladh Pijaca · Off: Matias Tamminen
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 84' IK brage · On: Jakob Römo Skille · Off: Tobias Stagaard
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Osters IF · On: Kingsley gyamfi · Off: Sebastian Starke Hedlund
- 93′IK brage are down to ten from 73′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 4–5 · 0–2–97
- FTFULL TIME IK brage 4–5 Osters IF
- FTIK brage 4–5 Osters IF · Osters IF win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Osters IF just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: IK brage 37%, draw 24%, Osters IF 39%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
IK brage win37%
Osters IF win39%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 28
VenueDomnarvsvallen
RefereeJasmin Svraka
Match timeline
All events
IK brageMIN
Osters IFEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
IK brage
4-3-3
Osters IF
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
IK brage
Osters IF
Last match: 17 Oct · Superettan
Last match: 17 Oct · Superettan
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
IK brage
4-3-3
1 V. Frodig
21 N. Östberg
2 A. Zetterström
22 T. Stagaard
16 Y. Rafael
8 A. Sporrong
7 J. Stensson
6 Lasse Madsen
11 A. Lundin
19 M. Sise
20 V. Ozor Okeke
Coach · Gustav Källberg
Substitutes
15 · Oliwer Stark
10 · G. Berggren
28 · G. Granström
30 · J. Guadagno
24 · A. Hellblom
17 · P. Jonsson
5 · L. Konjuhi
12 · A. Mortensen
14 · J. Skille
Osters IF
4-3-3
12 L. Enzenross
16 R. Adjei
5 M. Adolfsson
4 S. Hedlund
14 D. Olsson
6 N. Söderberg
18 K. Marrah
29 M. Due Grandt
10 O. Uddenäs
9 K. Jawla
19 M. Tamminen
Coach · D. Friberg
Substitutes
34 · W. Thellsson
21 · V. Lind
33 · M. Hartmann
3 · K. Gyamfi
17 · H. Pijaca
24 · N. Ayorinde
8 · D. Ask
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
IK brage
4-3-3
1 V. Frodig
21 N. Östberg
2 A. Zetterström
22 T. Stagaard
16 Y. Rafael
8 A. Sporrong
7 J. Stensson
6 Lasse Madsen
11 A. Lundin
19 M. Sise
20 V. Ozor Okeke
Coach · Gustav Källberg
Substitutes
15 · Oliwer Stark
10 · G. Berggren
28 · G. Granström
30 · J. Guadagno
24 · A. Hellblom
17 · P. Jonsson
5 · L. Konjuhi
12 · A. Mortensen
14 · J. Skille
Osters IF
4-3-3
12 L. Enzenross
16 R. Adjei
5 M. Adolfsson
4 S. Hedlund
14 D. Olsson
6 N. Söderberg
18 K. Marrah
29 M. Due Grandt
10 O. Uddenäs
9 K. Jawla
19 M. Tamminen
Coach · D. Friberg
Substitutes
34 · W. Thellsson
21 · V. Lind
33 · M. Hartmann
3 · K. Gyamfi
17 · H. Pijaca
24 · N. Ayorinde
8 · D. Ask
We make Osters IF a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| IK brage win | 37% | 46% | −9 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Osters IF win | 39% | 30% | +9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 63% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 65% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 83% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 44% | −5 |
| IK brage or draw | 61% | 70% | −9 |
| IK brage clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
| Osters IF clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 4 Sept
IK BRAGE
OSTERS IF
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 27 | +36 | 59 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 27 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 27 | +11 | 46 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 27 | +9 | 45 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 27 | +13 | 43 |
| 6 | Oddevold | 28 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 | Osters IF | 27 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | United Nordic | 27 | −3 | 39 |
| 9 | Sandviken | 27 | +5 | 35 |
| 10 | Ljungskile SK | 27 | −1 | 32 |
| 11 | IFK Varnamo | 27 | −12 | 32 |
| 12 | Helsingborg | 27 | −11 | 31 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 27 | −6 | 27 |
| 14 | IK brage | 27 | −9 | 26 |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 27 | −12 | 26 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 28 | −46 | 19 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
United Nordic
Sandviken
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
Norrby IF
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall