IFK Norrkoping v Ostersunds FK prediction · Superettan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

IFK NorrkopingDrawOstersunds FK

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · IFK Norrkoping 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

IFK Norrkoping are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: IFK Norrkoping 55%, draw 25%, Ostersunds FK 20%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on IFK Norrkoping v Ostersunds FKBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

IFK Norrkoping win55%

Draw25%

Ostersunds FK win20%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 29

VenueNorrkopings Idrottspark

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

IFK Norrkoping

Ostersunds FK

11Days since last match7

Last match: 20 Oct · Superettan

Last match: 24 Oct · Superettan

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ifk norrkoping winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make IFK Norrkoping a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · IFK Norrkoping v Ostersunds FK~~1.68 – 0.89

~~Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 4 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W2 D4 L0

~~Table places · points 59 v 48~~1 v 3

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
IFK Norrkoping win	55%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Ostersunds FK win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
IFK Norrkoping or draw	80%	–	–
IFK Norrkoping clean sheet	41%	–	–
Ostersunds FK clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.4%

0123450 8.3 6.4 3.1 1 12.4 11.8 5.1 2 10.7 9.4 4.2 3 6.1 5.3 2.4 4 2.6 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+IFK Norrkoping down, Ostersunds FK across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,440 Superettan matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.5% of games this season, across 220 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.67 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

IFK Norrkoping at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Ostersunds FK away: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for IFK Norrkoping, 0.89 for Ostersunds FK. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~OST 0–2 IFK · IFK 3–0 OST · OST 1–2 IFK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 4 Sept

IFK NORRKOPING

DWDWWD2–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 2–2

OSTERSUNDS FK

DWDDDW1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 4–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	IFK Norrkoping	27	+36	59
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	+15	51
3	Ostersunds FK	28	+12	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	27	+11	46
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	+13	43
6	Oddevold	28	+11	42
7	Osters IF	28	+1	42
8	United Nordic	28	−6	39
9	Sandviken	28	+6	38
10	Ljungskile SK	27	−1	32
11	IFK Varnamo	28	−13	32
12	Helsingborg	27	−11	31
13	Norrby IF	27	−6	27
14	IK brage	28	−10	26
15	Orebro SK	27	−12	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	−46	19