IFK Norrkoping v Orebro SK

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said IFK Norrkoping win at 63%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: IFK Norrkoping was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 63–22–15
3. 1′KICK-OFF IFK Norrkoping v Orebro SK
4. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Orebro SK
5. 23′We said IFK Norrkoping at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–1 · 30–27–43
6. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' IFK Norrkoping 0–1 Orebro SK
7. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' IFK Norrkoping win: 63% at kick-off, 30% now
8. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Orebro SK win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was IFK Norrkoping win 57%)
9. 25′We said IFK Norrkoping at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–43
10. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' IFK Norrkoping
11. 27′Orebro SK ahead on 24′ through Chovanie Amatkarijo. 0–1. 0–1 · 28–28–44
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 27–28–45
13. 34′SUBSTITUTION · 31' Orebro SK · On: Christopher Redenstrand · Off: Ahmed Yasin
14. 36′We said IFK Norrkoping at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–29–47
15. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' IFK Norrkoping win: 63% at kick-off, 23% now
16. 45′We said IFK Norrkoping at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–29–51
17. 45′SECOND HALF IFK Norrkoping 0–1 Orebro SK
18. 48′Orebro SK ahead on 25′ through Chovanie Amatkarijo. 0–1. 0–1 · 19–29–51
19. 48′HALF-TIME IFK Norrkoping 0–1 Orebro SK
20. 56′We said IFK Norrkoping at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–58
21. 56′9 shots for IFK Norrkoping, 4 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 14–29–58
22. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' IFK Norrkoping win: 63% at kick-off, 13% now
23. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Orebro SK
24. 62′We said IFK Norrkoping at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–90
25. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' IFK Norrkoping 0–2 Orebro SK
26. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' IFK Norrkoping win: 63% at kick-off, 2% now
27. 64′A goal for Orebro SK on 63′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–91
28. 65′Antonio Yakoub scores for Orebro SK on 62′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
29. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Orebro SK · On: Jacob Ortmark · Off: Karl Holmberg
30. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Orebro SK · On: Samuel Wikman · Off: Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul
31. 69′We said IFK Norrkoping at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 1–2 · 7–25–68
32. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' IFK Norrkoping 1–2 Orebro SK
33. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' IFK Norrkoping win: 63% at kick-off, 7% now
34. 70′IFK Norrkoping have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–2. 1–2 · 6–24–69
35. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' IFK Norrkoping · On: Alexander Fransson · Off: Viktor Christiansson
36. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' IFK Norrkoping · On: Albert aleksanjan · Off: Ryan Lee Nelson
37. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' IFK Norrkoping · On: Moutaz Neffati · Off: Viggo Olle Falth
38. 72′IFK Norrkoping score on 70′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 5–23–72
39. 73′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 5–23–73
40. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' IFK Norrkoping win: 63% at kick-off, 3% now
41. 80′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 18–74–7
42. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' IFK Norrkoping 2–2 Orebro SK
43. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' IFK Norrkoping win: 63% at kick-off, 18% now
44. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Orebro SK win 82%)
45. 82′IFK Norrkoping have had 16 attempts to 5 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 15–79–6
46. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' IFK Norrkoping · On: Jonas Bertheussen Weber · Off: Filip Dagerstål
47. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' IFK Norrkoping · On: Tim Prica · Off: Axel Brönner
48. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Orebro SK · On: hampus soderstrom · Off: Erdal Rakip
49. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Orebro SK · On: Dino Salihovic · Off: Manasse Kusu
50. 83′IFK Norrkoping find the net on 81′. 2–2. 2–2 · 13–81–6
51. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' IFK Norrkoping win: 63% at kick-off, 13% now
52. 83′PENALTY MISSED · 81' IFK Norrkoping
53. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Dino Salihovic · Orebro SK
54. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' IFK Norrkoping win: 63% at kick-off, 3% now
55. 97′Full time, 2–2. We called IFK Norrkoping at 63% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
56. FTFULL TIME IFK Norrkoping 2–2 Orebro SK
57. FTIFK Norrkoping 2–2 Orebro SK · IFK Norrkoping win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.