GIF Sundsvall v IFK Varnamo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said IFK Varnamo win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: IFK Varnamo 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 35–26–39
3. 1′KICK-OFF GIF Sundsvall v IFK Varnamo
4. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 25' GIF Sundsvall
5. 31′SUBSTITUTION · 28' GIF Sundsvall · GIF Sundsvall
6. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 37' IFK Varnamo
7. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was IFK Varnamo win 33%)
8. 45′HALF-TIME GIF Sundsvall 0–0 IFK Varnamo
9. 45′SECOND HALF GIF Sundsvall 0–0 IFK Varnamo
10. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' IFK Varnamo win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
11. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.8 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 26–45–29
12. 59′We said IFK Varnamo at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 25–48–27
13. 61′We said IFK Varnamo at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 0–1 · 5–19–76
14. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' GIF Sundsvall 0–1 IFK Varnamo
15. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' IFK Varnamo win: 39% at kick-off, 76% now
16. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' IFK Varnamo win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
17. 65′IFK Varnamo ahead on 62′ through Kai Meriluoto. 0–1. 0–1 · 4–18–78
18. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' IFK Varnamo win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
19. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 62' IFK Varnamo · On: Simon Thern · Off: Kai Meriluoto Corrected
20. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 62' IFK Varnamo · On: Musa Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa · Off: Hugo Andersson Mella Corrected
21. 69′We said IFK Varnamo at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
22. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 68' GIF Sundsvall · On: Marc Manchón · Off: Carl Bjork Corrected
23. 76′We said IFK Varnamo at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
24. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 68' GIF Sundsvall · On: Eron Gojani · Off: Elvis Hansson Corrected
25. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Simon Thern · IFK Varnamo
26. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 76' GIF Sundsvall · On: Miguel Sandberg · Off: malte hallin Corrected
27. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' GIF Sundsvall · On: Jeremiah Bjornler · Off: Alper Demirol Corrected
28. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' IFK Varnamo win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
29. 82′We said IFK Varnamo at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
30. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 77' IFK Varnamo · On: Erik Jacob Freij · Off: Arash Motaraghebjafarpour Corrected
31. 88′We said IFK Varnamo at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
32. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' IFK Varnamo · On: Samuel olsson · Off: August Ljungberg Corrected
33. 90′0–1 at the end. Our 39% on IFK Varnamo comes in. 0–1 · 0–0–100
34. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' IFK Varnamo win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
35. FTFULL TIME GIF Sundsvall 0–1 IFK Varnamo
36. FTGIF Sundsvall 0–1 IFK Varnamo · IFK Varnamo win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.