Falkenbergs FF v Sandviken prediction · Superettan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Falkenbergs FFDrawSandviken

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Falkenbergs FF 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Falkenbergs FF are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Falkenbergs FF 52%, draw 23%, Sandviken 25%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Falkenbergs FF v SandvikenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Falkenbergs FF win52%

Draw23%

Sandviken win25%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 29

VenueFalcon Alkoholfri Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Falkenbergs FF

Sandviken

14Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Superettan

Last match: 24 Oct · Superettan

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	+15	51
9	Sandviken	28	+6	38

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · falkenbergs ff winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Falkenbergs FF a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Falkenbergs FF v Sandviken~~1.94 – 1.27

~~Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 51 v 38~~2 v 9

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Falkenbergs FF win	52%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Sandviken win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Falkenbergs FF or draw	75%	–	–
Falkenbergs FF clean sheet	28%	–	–
Sandviken clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.6 4.8 3.3 1 7.5 10.3 6.3 2.7 2 7.5 9.5 6.0 2.6 3 4.9 6.1 3.9 4 2.4 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Falkenbergs FF down, Sandviken across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,440 Superettan matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.5% of games this season, across 220 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Falkenbergs FF at home: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Sandviken away: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Falkenbergs FF, 1.27 for Sandviken. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SAN 4–2 FAL · FAL 4–0 SAN · SAN 4–1 FAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 5 Sept

FALKENBERGS FF

LWWDWW1–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 4–3

SANDVIKEN

LDWLDW0–1 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	IFK Norrkoping	27	+36	59
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	+15	51
3	Ostersunds FK	28	+12	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	27	+11	46
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	+13	43
6	Oddevold	28	+11	42
7	Osters IF	28	+1	42
8	United Nordic	28	−6	39
9	Sandviken	28	+6	38
10	Ljungskile SK	27	−1	32
11	IFK Varnamo	28	−13	32
12	Helsingborg	27	−11	31
13	Norrby IF	27	−6	27
14	IK brage	28	−10	26
15	Orebro SK	27	−12	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	−46	19