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Falkenbergs FF v Landskrona BoIS

Falkenbergs FF
4–3Full time
Landskrona BoIS

Superettan · SAT 17 OCT · Falcon Alkoholfri Arena

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Falkenbergs FF 4–3 Landskrona BoIS FALKENBERGS FF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Falkenbergs FF win49%
The market said38%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.397
The market’s Brier score0.582

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay22 notes · 33 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Falkenbergs FF win at 49%.
  2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Falkenbergs FF 49% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–25–27
  3. 2′KICK-OFF Falkenbergs FF v Landskrona BoIS
  4. 8′We said Falkenbergs FF at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–16–11
  5. 8′Falkenbergs FF find the net on 8′. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–16–11
  6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Falkenbergs FF 1–0 Landskrona BoIS
  7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Falkenbergs FF win: 49% at kick-off, 73% now
  8. 12′We said Falkenbergs FF at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 2–0 · 89–7–3
  9. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Falkenbergs FF 2–0 Landskrona BoIS
  10. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Falkenbergs FF win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
  11. 13′We said Falkenbergs FF at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–0 · 90–7–3
  12. 16′A goal for Falkenbergs FF on 12′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 90–7–3
  13. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Falkenbergs FF 2–1 Landskrona BoIS
  14. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Falkenbergs FF win: 49% at kick-off, 73% now
  15. 26′Landskrona BoIS score on 24′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 74–17–9
  16. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Falkenbergs FF 3–1 Landskrona BoIS
  17. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Falkenbergs FF win: 49% at kick-off, 91% now
  18. 30′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 91–6–2
  19. 32′Falkenbergs FF find the net on 29′. 3–1. 3–1 · 92–6–2
  20. 32′We said Falkenbergs FF at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 4–1 · 98–2–0
  21. 32′5 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 98–2–0
  22. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Falkenbergs FF 4–1 Landskrona BoIS
  23. 36′Hampus Källström scores for Falkenbergs FF on 33′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 98–1–0
  24. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Andreas Murbeck · Landskrona BoIS
  25. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Falkenbergs FF win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
  26. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Amr Kaddoura · Landskrona BoIS
  27. 45′SECOND HALF Falkenbergs FF 4–1 Landskrona BoIS
  28. 46′HALF-TIME Falkenbergs FF 4–1 Landskrona BoIS
  29. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Landskrona BoIS · On: Edi Sylisufaj · Off: Zakaria Loukili
  30. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Landskrona BoIS · On: Emmanuel Moungam · Off: Kevin Jensen
  31. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Landskrona BoIS · On: Enes Hebibovic · Off: Mathias Andreasen
  32. 51′Hampus Källström scores for Falkenbergs FF on 33′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 99–1–0
  33. 52′We said Falkenbergs FF at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 4–1 · 99–1–0
  34. 52′5 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 99–1–0
  35. 57′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 95–4–1
  36. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Falkenbergs FF 4–2 Landskrona BoIS
  37. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Falkenbergs FF win: 49% at kick-off, 95% now
  38. 59′We said Falkenbergs FF at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 4–3 · 78–17–4
  39. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Falkenbergs FF 4–3 Landskrona BoIS
  40. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Falkenbergs FF win: 49% at kick-off, 78% now
  41. 60′7 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 4–3 · 79–17–4
  42. 63′We said Falkenbergs FF at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 4–3 · 80–17–4
  43. 64′Landskrona BoIS find the net on 60′. 4–3. 4–3 · 80–17–3
  44. 74′We said Falkenbergs FF at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 4–3 · 85–14–2
  45. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Falkenbergs FF win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
  46. 81′We said Falkenbergs FF at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 4–3 · 90–9–1
  47. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Falkenbergs FF · On: Tim·Stalheden · Off: Ayo Rupia-Ellis
  48. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Falkenbergs FF · On: Noel Hansson · Off: Argjend Miftari
  49. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Falkenbergs FF · On: Nils Bertilsson · Off: Lassina Sangaré
  50. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Falkenbergs FF
  51. 86′PENALTY MISSED · 82' Adam Egnell · Landskrona BoIS
  52. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Falkenbergs FF · On: G. Alexandersson · Off: Linus Borgström
  53. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Falkenbergs FF · On: lion beqiri · Off: Oskar Lindberg
  54. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Landskrona BoIS · On: Salomo Ojala · Off: kota sakurai
  55. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Falkenbergs FF win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
  56. FTFULL TIME Falkenbergs FF 4–3 Landskrona BoIS
  57. FTFalkenbergs FF 4–3 Landskrona BoIS · Falkenbergs FF win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Falkenbergs FF are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Falkenbergs FF 49%, draw 24%, Landskrona BoIS 27%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Falkenbergs FF v Landskrona BoISBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Falkenbergs FF win49%
Draw24%
Landskrona BoIS win27%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 27

VenueFalcon Alkoholfri Arena

RefereeRinon Hasani

Line-ups

Falkenbergs FF

4-4-2

Landskrona BoIS

4-3-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Falkenbergs FF

Landskrona BoIS

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Superettan

Last match: 10 Oct · Superettan

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Falkenbergs FF26+1448
5Landskrona BoIS26+1443

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Falkenbergs FF

4-4-2

1 A. Andersson

6 L. Borgstrom

17 A. Miftari

23 A. Salo

12 A. Rupia-Ellis

19 O. Lindberg

18 L. Sangare

28 M. Nilsson

10 E. Mohammad

9 A. Andersson

11 H. Kallstrom

Coach · Christoffer Andersson

Substitutes

31 · G. Lillienberg

4 · T. Stalheden

5 · N. Hansson

8 · N. Bertilsson

14 · W. Videhult

21 · L. Beqiri

22 · T. Fritiofsson

25 · G. Alexandersson

29 · H. Komano

Landskrona BoIS

4-3-3

30 M. Pettersson

4 G. Bruzelius

26 A. Murbeck

6 T. Karlsson

3 G. Weststrom

5 A. Egnell

13 K. Sakurai

23 Z. Loukili

21 K. Jensen

14 M. Andreasen

10 C. Capotondi

Coach · Robin Asterhed

Substitutes

1 · A. Kaddoura

7 · S. Ojala

8 · A. Smajic

9 · E. Sylisufaj

12 · E. Moungam

15 · M. Mohamed

27 · R. Arabaci

28 · M. Milosevic

36 · E. Hebibovic

Our number · falkenbergs ff winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 15 Oct 04:59 · locked at kick-off
49% The market38%
Us49%
Market38%

We make Falkenbergs FF a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Falkenbergs FF v Landskrona BoIS1.76 – 1.26
Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 29 AugW4 D1 L1 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 48 v 432 v 5
The market · Falkenbergs FF win38% · ours 49%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0617 OCT 13:31
Our probability · Falkenbergs FF win The market, margin stripped

Published at 48%, 49% now. The market has gone from 42% to 38% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Falkenbergs FF win49%38%+11
Draw24%27%−3
Landskrona BoIS win27%35%−8
Over 2.5 goals58%53%+5
Both teams to score59%57%+2
Over 1.5 goals80%75%+5
Over 3.5 goals36%31%+5
Falkenbergs FF or draw73%65%+8
Falkenbergs FF clean sheet29%––
Landskrona BoIS clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%
0123450 5.5 5.8 3.9 1 8.2 11.2 6.7 2.9 2 7.5 9.4 5.9 2.5 3 4.4 5.5 3.4 4 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Falkenbergs FF down, Landskrona BoIS across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsLAN 1–2 FAL · FAL 1–1 LAN · LAN 0–3 FAL · FAL 0–2 LAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superettan this season · since 29 Aug

FALKENBERGS FF

WLWWDW4–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1

LANDSKRONA BOIS

DWLWWW1–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 4–1 · 3–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1IFK Norrkoping26+3658
2Falkenbergs FF26+1448
3Varbergs BoIS FC26+1145
4Ostersunds FK26+944
5Landskrona BoIS26+1443
6Oddevold26+639
7Osters IF26−236
8United Nordic26−436
9Sandviken26+534
10Helsingborg26−1130
11Ljungskile SK26−329
12IFK Varnamo26−1329
13Norrby IF26−527
14IK brage26−726
15Orebro SK26−1225
16GIF Sundsvall26−3819

The competition's standings before kick-off.