Utsikten v Angelholms FF prediction · Ettan

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 14:34

Utsikten 0–2 Angelholms FF ANGELHOLMS FF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Angelholms FF win~~42%

~~The market said~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.506

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.483

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 32 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Angelholms FF win at 42%.
1′Much as we predicted: Angelholms FF was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 34–24–42
1′KICK-OFF Utsikten v Angelholms FF
11′Much as we predicted: Angelholms FF was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 34–25–41
13′🟨 YELLOW · 13' Angelholms FF
34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Utsikten 0–1 Angelholms FF
38′34′ and it is 0–1: M. Ahmadi on the scoresheet for Angelholms FF. 0–1 · 10–20–69
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Angelholms FF win: 42% at kick-off, 69% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Angelholms FF win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
39′34′ and it is 0–1: M. Ahmadi on the scoresheet for Angelholms FF. 0–1 · 10–20–69
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Angelholms FF win: 42% at kick-off, 69% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Angelholms FF win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Angelholms FF
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Utsikten 0–2 Angelholms FF
45′HALF-TIME Utsikten 0–2 Angelholms FF
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Angelholms FF win: 42% at kick-off, 69% now
46′SECOND HALF Utsikten 0–2 Angelholms FF
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Utsikten · On: C. Juhlin · Off: S. Sjoholm
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Utsikten · On: V. Andersson · Off: O. Ball
55′🟨 YELLOW · 13' V. Carlsson · Angelholms FF
55′⚽ GOAL · 34' Utsikten 0–2 Angelholms FF · M. Ahmadi (assist O. Stojanovic Fredin)
55′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Angelholms FF
55′⚽ GOAL · 46' Utsikten 0–2 Angelholms FF · A. Nilsson
55′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Utsikten · On: C. Juhlin · Off: S. Sjoholm
55′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Utsikten · On: V. Andersson · Off: O. Ball
59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Angelholms FF
60′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Angelholms FF
63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Utsikten · On: V. Gunnarsson · Off: E. Andren
69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Angelholms FF · On: D. Alfonsi · Off: O. Stojanovic Fredin
69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Angelholms FF · On: A. Touray · Off: M. Tshikupe
76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Utsikten · On: T. Sellstedt · Off: M. Khalaf
76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Angelholms FF
78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Utsikten
80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Utsikten · On: E. Risp · Off: F. Wennergrund
87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Angelholms FF · On: T. Boakye · Off: M. Ahlqvist
90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Angelholms FF · On: E. Lipovica · Off: V. Carlsson
FTFULL TIME Utsikten 0–2 Angelholms FF
FTUtsikten 0–2 Angelholms FF · Angelholms FF win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Utsikten win34%

Draw23%

Angelholms FF win42%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

VenueNordic Wellness Arena

Line-ups

Utsikten

Angelholms FF

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Utsikten

Angelholms FF

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Angelholms FF	25	−16	21
16	Utsikten	25	−37	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Utsikten

Formation not confirmed

2 D. Hermansson

4 S. Bosnic

5 M. Khalaf

6 K. Berndtsson

8 F. Wennergrund

10 E. Andren

11 O. Ball

17 P. Olsson

18 S. Sjoholm

19 M. Koliqi

29 J. Noller

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · E. Levin

7 · V. Andersson

9 · V. Gunnarsson

14 · C. Juhlin

16 · E. Risp

22 · D. Gustafsson

27 · T. Sellstedt

Angelholms FF

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Streifert

2 M. Ahmadi

3 E. Vedholm

4 W. Sonntag

8 B. Tannus

9 A. Nilsson

10 M. Tshikupe

14 V. Carlsson

15 A. Wiklund

16 M. Ahlqvist

23 O. Stojanovic Fredin

Coach · –

Substitutes

7 · A. Touray

17 · T. Boakye

19 · D. Alfonsi

20 · E. Lipovica

24 · E. Lipovica

25 · J. Svensson

30 · Z. Nilsson

Our number · angelholms ff winPublished 11 Oct 12:12

42% The market43%

Us42%

~~Market~~43%

We make Angelholms FF a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.7.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · angelholms ff win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 44% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Utsikten win	34%	32%	+3
Draw	23%	25%	−1
Angelholms FF win	42%	43%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	61%	61%	−1
Both teams to score	62%	63%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	82%	80%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	39%	41%	−2
Utsikten or draw	58%	57%	+1
Utsikten clean sheet	19%	–	–
Angelholms FF clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 4.5 7.3 6.0 3.4 1 6.5 10.4 8.6 4.8 2.1 2 4.7 7.6 6.3 3.5 3 2.4 3.8 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Utsikten down, Angelholms FF across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,406 Ettan - Södra matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ettan - Södra matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.7% of games this season, across 206 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 6.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Utsikten at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Angelholms FF away: 0.50 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.49 goals for Utsikten, 1.67 for Angelholms FF. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~6.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ANG 4–2 UTS

Form · last six in Ettan - Södra

UTSIKTEN

DLDLWL1–1 · 0–5 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 3–0 · 2–3

ANGELHOLMS FF

LLLDLW0–5 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 3–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Trelleborg	26	+29	57
2	Hässleholms IF	26	+17	48
3	Atvidabergs FF	26	+14	47
4	Lund	26	+18	44
5	AFC Malmo	26	+12	44
6	Rosengård	26	+4	39
7	Trollhättan	26	+4	38
8	Jonkopings Sodra	26	+2	33
9	Olympic	26	−2	33
10	Tvååker	25	−6	33
11	Skövde AIK	26	−9	33
12	Eskilsminne	26	−9	32
13	Kristianstad	26	−10	27
14	Laholm	25	−11	25
15	Angelholms FF	25	−16	21
16	Utsikten	25	−37	12