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Trollhättan v Jonkopings Sodra
Trollhättan
Jonkopings SodraEttan - Södra · SAT 24 OCT · Edsborgs IP
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Trollhättan win at 41%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Trollhättan 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–26–33
- 1′KICK-OFF Trollhättan v Jonkopings Sodra
- 16′Jonkopings Sodra score on 16′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–23–61
- 16′We said Trollhättan at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–23–61
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Trollhättan 0–1 Jonkopings Sodra
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Trollhättan win: 41% at kick-off, 17% now
- 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Jonkopings Sodra win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Trollhättan win 39%)
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Jonkopings Sodra
- 26′We said Trollhättan at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 13–23–63
- 31′Trollhättan find the net on 31′. 1–1. 1–1 · 36–34–30
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Trollhättan 1–1 Jonkopings Sodra
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Trollhättan win: 41% at kick-off, 36% now
- 32′GOAL DISALLOWED · 32' Trollhättan
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Trollhättan win: 41% at kick-off, 13% now
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Trollhättan win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
- 44′Trollhättan find the net on 44′. 1–1. 1–1 · 33–39–27
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Trollhättan 1–1 Jonkopings Sodra
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Trollhättan win: 41% at kick-off, 33% now
- 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Jonkopings Sodra win 67%)
- 45′A goal for Jonkopings Sodra on 45′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 10–23–67
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Trollhättan 1–2 Jonkopings Sodra
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Trollhättan win: 41% at kick-off, 10% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Jonkopings Sodra win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 40%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Trollhättan 1–2 Jonkopings Sodra
- 46′We said Trollhättan at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–23–67
- 46′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 9–23–67
- 54′Jonkopings Sodra score on 46′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 1–6–93
- 54′We said Trollhättan at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–3 · 1–6–93
- 54′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 1–6–93
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 46' Trollhättan 1–3 Jonkopings Sodra
- 54′SECOND HALF Trollhättan 1–3 Jonkopings Sodra
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Trollhättan win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
- 67′Jonkopings Sodra find the net on 66′. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 67′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Trollhättan 1–4 Jonkopings Sodra
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Trollhättan · On: A. Gashi · Off: T. Sernling
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Trollhättan
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Trollhättan · On: S. Banous · Off: W. Henriksson
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Jonkopings Sodra · On: C. Hellstrom · Off: F. Benatallah
- 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Jonkopings Sodra
- 92′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–4 · 0–0–100
- 92′A goal for Trollhättan on 90′ — 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–100
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Trollhättan 2–4 Jonkopings Sodra
- 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Trollhättan
- FTFULL TIME Trollhättan 2–4 Jonkopings Sodra
- FTTrollhättan 2–4 Jonkopings Sodra · Trollhättan win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Trollhättan are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Trollhättan 41%, draw 26%, Jonkopings Sodra 33%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Trollhättan win41%
Jonkopings Sodra win33%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundSödra · matchday 28
VenueEdsborgs IP
Match timeline
All events
TrollhättanMIN
Jonkopings SodraEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Trollhättan
Jonkopings Sodra
Last match: 18 Oct · Ettan - Södra
Last match: 17 Oct · Ettan - Södra
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Trollhättan a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 42%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trollhättan win | 41% | 38% | +3 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| Jonkopings Sodra win | 33% | 34% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 53% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 58% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 75% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 33% | −6 |
| Trollhättan or draw | 67% | 66% | +1 |
| Trollhättan clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Jonkopings Sodra clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 16 Sept
TROLLHÄTTAN
JONKOPINGS SODRA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 27 | +31 | 60 |
| 2 | Hässleholms IF | 27 | +18 | 51 |
| 3 | Atvidabergs FF | 27 | +13 | 47 |
| 4 | Lund | 27 | +16 | 44 |
| 5 | AFC Malmo | 27 | +11 | 44 |
| 6 | Rosengård | 27 | +4 | 40 |
| 7 | Trollhättan | 27 | +2 | 38 |
| 8 | Tvååker | 28 | −3 | 38 |
| 9 | Jonkopings Sodra | 27 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 | Olympic | 27 | +1 | 36 |
| 11 | Skövde AIK | 27 | −9 | 34 |
| 12 | Eskilsminne | 27 | −9 | 33 |
| 13 | Kristianstad | 27 | −8 | 30 |
| 14 | Laholm | 27 | −10 | 29 |
| 15 | Angelholms FF | 27 | −15 | 24 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 28 | −45 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Trelleborg
Hässleholms IF
Atvidabergs FF
Lund
AFC Malmo
Rosengård
Tvååker
Olympic
Skövde AIK
Eskilsminne
Kristianstad
Laholm
Angelholms FF
Utsikten