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Skövde AIK v Eskilsminne

Skövde AIK
2–2Full time
Eskilsminne

Ettan - Södra · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Skövde AIK 2–2 Eskilsminne SKÖVDE AIK WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Skövde AIK win43%
The market said40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.906
The market’s Brier score0.784

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 23 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Skövde AIK win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Skövde AIK 43% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–23–35
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Skövde AIK v Eskilsminne
  4. 7′Little has changed for our model: Skövde AIK 43% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–23–35
  5. 37′Skövde AIK find the net on 36′. 1–0. 1–0 · 68–20–12
  6. 37′⚽ GOAL · 36' Skövde AIK 1–0 Eskilsminne
  7. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Skövde AIK win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  8. 38′We said Skövde AIK at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–20–11
  9. 45′We said Skövde AIK at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–10
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Skövde AIK 1–0 Eskilsminne
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Skövde AIK 1–0 Eskilsminne
  12. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Skövde AIK win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
  13. 63′We said Skövde AIK at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
  14. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Eskilsminne
  15. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Eskilsminne
  16. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 63' C. Ljungberg · Eskilsminne
  17. 72′We said Skövde AIK at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  18. 72′A goal for Eskilsminne on 72′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 23–57–20
  19. 72′We said Skövde AIK at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–57–20
  20. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Skövde AIK 1–1 Eskilsminne
  21. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Skövde AIK win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  22. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Skövde AIK win 23%)
  23. 77′We said Skövde AIK at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
  24. 78′Skövde AIK score on 78′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
  25. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Skövde AIK 2–1 Eskilsminne
  26. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Skövde AIK win: 43% at kick-off, 84% now
  27. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Skövde AIK win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 14%)
  28. 79′We said Skövde AIK at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–1
  29. 79′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 2–1 · 85–13–1
  30. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Skövde AIK win: 43% at kick-off, 85% now
  31. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Skövde AIK · On: E. Strom · Off: L. Samuelsson
  32. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Eskilsminne · On: H. Stoltz · Off: T. Bermudez
  33. 83′We said Skövde AIK at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
  34. 87′Eskilsminne find the net on 86′. 2–2. 2–2 · 8–85–7
  35. 87′We said Skövde AIK at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–85–7
  36. 87′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 8–85–7
  37. 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Skövde AIK 2–2 Eskilsminne
  38. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Skövde AIK win: 43% at kick-off, 8% now
  39. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Skövde AIK win 8%)
  40. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Skövde AIK · On: V. Linnarsson · Off: E. Skillermo
  41. 92′We said Skövde AIK at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
  42. FTFULL TIME Skövde AIK 2–2 Eskilsminne
  43. FTSkövde AIK 2–2 Eskilsminne · Skövde AIK win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Skövde AIK are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Skövde AIK 43%, draw 22%, Eskilsminne 35%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Skövde AIK v EskilsminneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Skövde AIK win43%
Draw22%
Eskilsminne win35%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundSödra · matchday 27

Line-ups

Skövde AIK

Eskilsminne

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Skövde AIK

Eskilsminne

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Ettan - Södra

Last match: 10 Oct · Ettan - Södra

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11Skövde AIK26−933
12Eskilsminne26−932

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Skövde AIK

Formation not confirmed

25 A. Ibrahimovic

19 S. Sorman

5 H. Forsgard

3 S. Johnson

18 L. Land

11 L. Samuelsson

16 A. Sodeliden

4 A. Basic

10 E. Nordstrom

8 A. Nygaard

7 E. Skillermo

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · G. Torstensson

6 · E. Strom

9 · M. Agerborn

12 · V. Linnarsson

13 · A. Remmerfelt

15 · E. Yoro

22 · G. Sina

Eskilsminne

Formation not confirmed

40 I. Pettersson

8 H. Lindahl

3 W. Nilsson

2 E. Kurtulus

21 A. Sjoberg

16 M. Larsson

6 C. Ljungberg

5 V. Andersson

10 T. Bermudez

9 A. Gustafson

17 I. Johnsson

Coach · Roar Hansen

Substitutes

1 · H. Pauli

11 · H. Stoltz

15 · H. Bengtsson

26 · M. Eriksson

30 · G. Pettersson

31 · H. Norrby

99 · C. Seger

Our number · skövde aik winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
43% The market40%
Us43%
Market40%

We make Skövde AIK a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Skövde AIK v Eskilsminne1.79 – 1.61
Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 12 SeptW3 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 33 v 3211 v 12
The market · Skövde AIK win40% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 11 OCT 04:0617 OCT 14:16
Our probability · Skövde AIK win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Skövde AIK win43%40%+3
Draw22%28%−6
Eskilsminne win35%32%+3
Over 2.5 goals65%60%+5
Both teams to score66%64%+2
Over 1.5 goals85%81%+4
Over 3.5 goals44%41%+3
Skövde AIK or draw65%68%−3
Skövde AIK clean sheet21%––
Eskilsminne clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%
0123450 3.6 5.5 4.4 2.4 1 6.1 9.6 7.6 4.1 2 5.4 8.4 6.6 3.6 3 3.2 5.0 4.0 2.1 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Skövde AIK down, Eskilsminne across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsESK 1–1 SKO · ESK 4–0 SKO · SKO 1–1 ESK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 12 Sept

SKÖVDE AIK

WLLWWL3–0 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 2–4

ESKILSMINNE

LWDLWL0–1 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–7

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Trelleborg27+3160
2Hässleholms IF26+1748
3Atvidabergs FF26+1447
4Lund27+1644
5AFC Malmo26+1244
6Rosengård26+439
7Trollhättan26+438
8Tvååker26−634
9Jonkopings Sodra26+233
10Olympic26−233
11Skövde AIK26−933
12Eskilsminne26−932
13Kristianstad26−1027
14Laholm26−1126
15Angelholms FF26−1424
16Utsikten26−3912

The competition's standings before kick-off.