Olympic v Hässleholms IF prediction · Ettan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

OlympicDrawHässleholms IF

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hässleholms IF 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hässleholms IF are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Olympic 31%, draw 22%, Hässleholms IF 46%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Olympic v Hässleholms IFBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Olympic win31%

Draw22%

Hässleholms IF win46%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundSödra · matchday 29

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olympic

Hässleholms IF

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Ettan - Södra

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Hässleholms IF	28	+18	52
10	Olympic	28	−3	36

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hässleholms if winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:25 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Hässleholms IF a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Olympic v Hässleholms IF~~1.50 – 1.86

~~Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 20 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 36 v 52~~10 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hässleholms IF win

Published at 45%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olympic win	31%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Hässleholms IF win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Olympic or draw	54%	–	–
Olympic clean sheet	16%	–	–
Hässleholms IF clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 3.7 6.6 6.0 3.7 1 5.3 9.6 8.8 5.4 2.6 2 4.0 7.1 6.5 4.0 3 3.6 3.3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Olympic down, Hässleholms IF across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,423 Ettan - Södra matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ettan - Södra matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.4% of games this season, across 223 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Olympic at home: 2.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Hässleholms IF away: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Olympic, 1.86 for Hässleholms IF. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~4 of 5

~~Last meetings~~HAS 4–0 OLY · OLY 2–1 HAS · HAS 1–1 OLY · OLY 2–1 HAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 20 Sept

OLYMPIC

DLLWWL1–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 7–2 · 4–1 · 1–5

HÄSSLEHOLMS IF

LLWWWD0–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Trelleborg	27	+31	60
2	Hässleholms IF	28	+18	52
3	Lund	28	+19	47
4	Atvidabergs FF	27	+13	47
5	AFC Malmo	28	+10	44
6	Rosengård	28	+3	40
7	Jonkopings Sodra	28	+5	39
8	Trollhättan	28	0	38
9	Tvååker	28	−3	38
10	Olympic	28	−3	36
11	Skövde AIK	28	−9	35
12	Kristianstad	28	−7	33
13	Eskilsminne	28	−12	33
14	Laholm	28	−6	32
15	Angelholms FF	28	−14	27
16	Utsikten	28	−45	12