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Laholm v Olympic

Laholm
5–1Full time
Olympic

Ettan - Södra · SAT 24 OCT · Glanninge Park

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
Laholm 5–1 Olympic LAHOLM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Laholm win41%
The market said42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.537
The market’s Brier score0.503

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 34 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Laholm win at 41%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Laholm was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–23–37
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Laholm v Olympic
  4. 9′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Olympic
  5. 23′Olympic score on 23′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–21–62
  6. 23′We said Laholm at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–21–62
  7. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Laholm 0–1 Olympic
  8. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Laholm win: 41% at kick-off, 17% now
  9. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Olympic win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Laholm win 38%)
  10. 28′Olympic find the net on 27′. 0–2. 0–2 · 6–11–84
  11. 28′We said Laholm at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–11–84
  12. 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Laholm 0–2 Olympic
  13. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Laholm win: 41% at kick-off, 6% now
  14. 29′GOAL DISALLOWED · 29' Olympic
  15. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Laholm win: 41% at kick-off, 16% now
  16. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Olympic
  17. 40′Laholm find the net on 40′. 1–1. 1–1 · 35–32–33
  18. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Laholm 1–1 Olympic
  19. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Laholm win: 41% at kick-off, 35% now
  20. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Olympic
  21. 45′HALF-TIME Laholm 1–1 Olympic
  22. 46′SECOND HALF Laholm 1–1 Olympic
  23. 50′A goal for Laholm on 49′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 69–21–9
  24. 50′We published Laholm at 41%. Our model now makes it 69%. 2–1 · 69–21–9
  25. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Laholm 2–1 Olympic
  26. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Laholm win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
  27. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Laholm win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Olympic win 65%)
  28. 51′We published Laholm at 41%. Our model now makes it 70%. 2–1 · 70–21–9
  29. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Olympic
  30. 52′V. Rolfsson scores for Laholm on 50′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 70–21–9
  31. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Olympic
  32. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Laholm win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
  33. 60′Laholm score on 60′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 93–5–1
  34. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Laholm 3–1 Olympic
  35. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Laholm win: 41% at kick-off, 93% now
  36. 61′We published Laholm at 41%. Our model now makes it 94%. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  37. 61′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  38. 65′We published Laholm at 41%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
  39. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Olympic · On: C. Nilsson · Off: M. Egbe
  40. 70′Laholm find the net on 69′. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  41. 70′We published Laholm at 41%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  42. 70′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  43. 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Laholm 4–1 Olympic
  44. 73′A goal for Laholm on 73′ — 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  45. 73′6 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  46. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Laholm 5–1 Olympic
  47. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Olympic · On: E. Ologe · Off: A. Robert
  48. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Laholm · On: F. Hashani · Off: P. Comnell
  49. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Laholm · On: N. S. Onnebo · Off: V. Johansson
  50. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Laholm · On: F. Andersson · Off: M. Andersson
  51. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Laholm · On: J. Falk · Off: E. Berisha
  52. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Olympic · On: F. Dovi · Off: A. Karlin
  53. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Laholm · On: H. Johansson · Off: G. Ibishi
  54. FTFULL TIME Laholm 5–1 Olympic
  55. FTLaholm 5–1 Olympic · Laholm win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Laholm just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Laholm 41%, draw 22%, Olympic 37%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Laholm v OlympicBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Laholm win41%
Draw22%
Olympic win37%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundSödra · matchday 28

VenueGlanninge Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Laholm

Olympic

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Ettan - Södra

Last match: 18 Oct · Ettan - Södra

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Olympic27+136
14Laholm27−1029

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · laholm winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
41% The market42%
Us41%
Market42%

We make Laholm a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Laholm v Olympic1.76 – 1.66
Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 16 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 29 v 3614 v 10
The market · Laholm win42% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 11:53
Our probability · Laholm win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Laholm win41%42%−1
Draw22%25%−3
Olympic win37%33%+4
Over 2.5 goals66%63%+3
Both teams to score66%65%+1
Over 1.5 goals85%81%+4
Over 3.5 goals44%42%+2
Laholm or draw63%67%−4
Laholm clean sheet20%––
Olympic clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%
0123450 3.5 5.6 4.6 2.5 1 5.9 9.5 7.8 4.3 2 5.1 8.2 6.7 3.7 3 3.0 4.8 3.9 2.2 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Laholm down, Olympic across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2023
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsOLY 3–2 LAH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 16 Sept

LAHOLM

DLLWDW0–0 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

OLYMPIC

WDLLWW1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 7–2 · 4–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Trelleborg27+3160
2Hässleholms IF27+1851
3Atvidabergs FF27+1347
4Lund27+1644
5AFC Malmo27+1144
6Rosengård27+440
7Trollhättan27+238
8Tvååker28−338
9Jonkopings Sodra27+336
10Olympic27+136
11Skövde AIK27−934
12Eskilsminne27−933
13Kristianstad27−830
14Laholm27−1029
15Angelholms FF27−1524
16Utsikten28−4512

The competition's standings before kick-off.